TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature during Burning Man 2026?
polymarket

Highest temperature during Burning Man 2026?

Volume:
$9,462

87-88°F

 - Polymarket

87-88°F - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Sep 8, 6:54 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

87-88°F

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,043
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

89-90°F

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,292
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

86°F or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$961
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

91-92°F

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$876
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

95-96°F

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$824
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

93-94°F

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$738
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

97°F or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$729
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded during Burning Man 2026 at the Black Rock City Airport weather station. Temperatures are recorded in degrees Fahrenheit and will be rounded to the nearest whole degree when resolving this market, rounding up on a half (e.g., a reading of 90.5°F resolves as 91°F). The resolution period is the full run of Burning Man 2026: August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026. The market resolves based on the single highest temperature recorded across all of these days. The resolution source is the "Black Rock City - Airport (88NV)" personal weather station (station ID KNVLOVEL7) on Weather Underground, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNVLOVEL7. The relevant value is the highest temperature reading shown for the resolution period. The temperature for each day can be seen at the Summary table at "Weather History for KNVLOVEL7" on the Weather Underground station page. This market will not resolve until data for the final day of the resolution period has been published on the resolution source. If the data for the final day of the resolution period has not been posted by September 8, 2026 3:59 AM ET, this market can be extended until September 10, 2026. If the resolution source does not report temperature data by September 10, 2026 3:59 AM ET, resolution will be based on the highest Air Temperature recorded at the 88NV weather station on top of the 88NV tower from August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026 (https://dyacon.net/station.php?pid=ed10ad82e14ab7357d3ab2eadbb30b5b#_ABSTRACT_RENDERER_ID_20).

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded during Burning Man 2026 at the Black Rock City Airport weather station. Temperatures are recorded in degrees Fahrenheit and will be rounded to the nearest whole degree when resolving this market, rounding up on a half (e.g., a reading of 90.5°F resolves as 91°F). The resolution period is the full run of Burning Man 2026: August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026. The market resolves based on the single highest temperature recorded across all of these days. The resolution source is the "Black Rock City - Airport (88NV)" personal weather station (station ID KNVLOVEL7) on Weather Underground, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNVLOVEL7. The relevant value is the highest temperature reading shown for the resolution period. The temperature for each day can be seen at the Summary table at "Weather History for KNVLOVEL7" on the Weather Underground station page. This market will not resolve until data for the final day of the resolution period has been published on the resolution source. If the data for the final day of the resolution period has not been posted by September 8, 2026 3:59 AM ET, this market can be extended until September 10, 2026. If the resolution source does not report temperature data by September 10, 2026 3:59 AM ET, resolution will be based on the highest Air Temperature recorded at the 88NV weather station on top of the 88NV tower from August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026 (https://dyacon.net/station.php?pid=ed10ad82e14ab7357d3ab2eadbb30b5b#_ABSTRACT_RENDERER_ID_20).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for the Burning Man temperature record, showing how traders view the likelihood of different temperature outcomes. It also displays current trading volume of $9,462 and 24-hour volume of $2,664, giving you insight into market activity and interest as the event approaches.

This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The highest recorded temperature at the Burning Man event site will be compared against the market's defined thresholds to determine the final result.

Weather forecasts issued by trusted meteorological services will heavily influence this market as Sep 8, 2026 approaches. Any extreme heat warnings, shifts in desert wind patterns, or unexpected climate events could cause rapid price swings. Traders will also watch for on-site reports from Burning Man organizers or accredited media covering temperature conditions during the event.