TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 5:59 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for October 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for October 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Compared to current spot price expectations from analysts and industry reports, the odds in this market reflect a slightly different outlook. While spot forecasts may lean toward stability or modest changes, traders are pricing in a wider range of possible outcomes, including sharp increases or declines. This divergence often happens because market participants can bet on tail risks and rapid shifts that traditional analyses might undervalue.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. By the end of October, rental prices for H200 GPUs will be observed across major cloud providers and rental platforms. The average or median price from these sources will determine which contract — higher or lower — pays out to winners.
Several signals could shift this market before it settles. New shipments of H200 GPUs, changes in mining profitability, or regulatory announcements affecting crypto hardware could all influence rental demand and pricing. Additionally, broader movements in the crypto market — especially related to AI-driven projects — might drive more or fewer users to rent these GPUs, thus moving the odds toward higher or lower outcomes.