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GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?
polymarket

GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?

Volume:
$43,138

$2.75-$3.00

 - Polymarket

$2.75-$3.00 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 6:18 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$2.75-$3.00

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,136
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$2.25-$2.50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,603
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$2.50-$2.75

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$3.00-$3.25

View
0%
75%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,456
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$3.25+

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,529
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<$2.25

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,274
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for August 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for August 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, odds in this market often reflect a blend of technical analysis and market sentiment, sometimes aligning closely with analyst forecasts but occasionally diverging. Analysts may publish their own projections based on supply-demand dynamics, manufacturing timelines, and market demand trends. Traders in this market incorporate real-time data and speculation that may not yet be reflected in formal reports, leading to periods where market probabilities either reinforce or challenge consensus views from research houses and industry experts.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set the odds for this market through a decentralized betting pool, where the current implied probability reflects the collective wisdom of participants. The platform calculates prices based on the total amount wagered on each possible outcome, adjusting dynamically as new trades occur. This mechanism allows for continuous price discovery specific to Polymarket, capturing the real-time expectations of its user base about where H100 GPU rental rates will land by the market's closure.

This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. By that point, rental listings, industry benchmarks, and pricing indexes will be reviewed to determine the prevailing H100 GPU rental rate. The result is based on observable market data rather than forecasts, ensuring an objective settlement that matches real-world conditions at the specified time.

Several signals could shift probabilities in this market before Aug 31, 2026. New shipments of H100 GPUs, changes in cloud-service pricing strategies, regulatory announcements affecting AI hardware, or unexpected spikes in demand from emerging applications could all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, macroeconomic factors, energy-cost adjustments, and competitive developments in alternative accelerator technologies may cause rapid repricing as participants reassess supply-and-demand fundamentals leading up to the resolution date.