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Science and Technology
Google (GOOGL) closes above ___ on October 12?
polymarket

Google (GOOGL) closes above ___ on October 12?

Volume:
$20,026

$345

 - Polymarket

$345 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 4:18 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$345

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,299
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$350

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$320
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$340

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$360

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,704
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$355

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,669
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) on October 12, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.GOOGL%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) on October 12, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.GOOGL%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Google stock price market tracks the current implied probability of the stock closing above a certain price on October 12. You’ll find the current odds, a price history chart showing how the market has priced the outcome over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $19,408. The total volume traded in this market is $20,021, providing insight into how much interest traders have in this prediction. This data helps understand market sentiment regarding Google’s future performance.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective assessment of whether Google’s stock will close above a specified price on October 12. This differs from traditional analyst forecasts, which are often based on fundamental analysis and modeling. While analysts may provide price targets, this market represents a real-money view of the probability of that target being reached. Discrepancies between this market and analyst opinions can highlight areas of disagreement or overlooked factors influencing the stock’s potential trajectory. It’s a valuable comparison point for understanding market expectations.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of Google’s stock closing above the target price. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions, and the price movements can be influenced by news, earnings reports, and broader market trends.

This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Google’s stock (GOOGL) on October 12 will be used to determine whether the market settles in the affirmative or negative. The resolution will be based on publicly available data from a reputable financial source, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 12, 2026. Major catalysts include Google’s quarterly earnings reports, any significant news regarding new product launches or regulatory changes, and broader macroeconomic trends affecting the technology sector. Unexpected announcements from competitors or shifts in investor sentiment could also drive price movements. Positive news generally increases the probability of the stock closing higher, while negative news could decrease it, leading to corresponding changes in the market’s price and volume. Monitoring these signals is crucial for informed trading.