TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.4b

24H VOL:

$93,860,226

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,643,541,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,586,778,228

469,640

Markets across

35,617

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,886

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Gold price on Oct 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
🌟New⌛Ending Soon
kalshi

Gold price on Oct 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Oct 14, 2026, 5:00 AM EST - Oct 15, 2026, 5:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$8,072
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$5,800
0.03%

Above $3994

 - Kalshi

Above $3994 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 15, 2026

Time left: 15h:14m:29s

Will the gold close price be above 3994 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

98%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 98¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 98% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $3994

Trade
98%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
$16
15h 14m
active
kalshi

Above $4044

Trade
97%
Yes 99¢No 3¢
2¢
N/A
$1,206
N/A
N/A
$1,196
15h 14m
active
kalshi

Above $4024

Trade
96%
Yes 100¢No 2¢
2¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
15h 14m
active
kalshi

Above $4064

Trade
95%
Yes 97¢No 5¢
2¢
N/A
$588
N/A
N/A
$588
15h 14m
active
kalshi

Above $4014

Trade
95%
Yes 100¢No 2¢
2¢
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
$38
15h 14m
active
kalshi

Above $4084

Trade
94%
Yes 92¢No 10¢
2¢
N/A
$711
N/A
N/A
$497
15h 14m
active
kalshi

Above $4054

Trade
94%
Yes 98¢No 4¢
2¢
N/A
$112
N/A
N/A
$112
15h 14m
active
kalshi

Above $4034

Trade
93%
Yes 99¢No 3¢
2¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
15h 14m
active
kalshi

Above $4094

Trade
91%
Yes 90¢No 14¢
4¢
N/A
$615
N/A
N/A
$500
15h 14m
active
kalshi

Above $4104

Trade
85%
Yes 84¢No 19¢
3¢
N/A
$730
N/A
N/A
$383
15h 14m
active
kalshi

Above $4074

Trade
81%
Yes 95¢No 7¢
2¢
N/A
$277
N/A
N/A
$276
15h 14m
active
kalshi

Above $4114

Trade
76%
Yes 75¢No 26¢
1¢
N/A
$277
N/A
N/A
$194
15h 14m
active
kalshi

Above $4124

Trade
74%
Yes 70¢No 31¢
1¢
N/A
$620
N/A
N/A
$266
15h 14m
active
kalshi

Above $4134

Trade
63%
Yes 59¢No 44¢
3¢
N/A
$508
N/A
N/A
$242
15h 14m
active
kalshi

Above $4144

Trade
54%
Yes 49¢No 54¢
3¢
N/A
$611
N/A
N/A
$224
15h 14m
active
kalshi

Above $4154

Trade
38%
Yes 39¢No 63¢
2¢
N/A
$448
N/A
N/A
$337
15h 14m
active
kalshi

Above $4164

Trade
30%
Yes 30¢No 71¢
1¢
N/A
$181
N/A
N/A
$107
15h 14m
active
kalshi

Above $4174

Trade
30%
Yes 21¢No 80¢
1¢
N/A
$67
N/A
N/A
$67
15h 14m
active
kalshi

Above $4184

Trade
21%
Yes 15¢No 89¢
4¢
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
$55
15h 14m
active
kalshi

Above $4194

Trade
9%
Yes 10¢No 92¢
2¢
N/A
$731
N/A
N/A
$422
15h 14m
active
kalshi

Above $4204

Trade
8%
Yes 7¢No 95¢
2¢
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
$75
15h 14m
active
kalshi

Above $4214

Trade
4%
Yes 5¢No 96¢
1¢
N/A
$72
N/A
N/A
$72
15h 14m
active
kalshi

Above $4244

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
$54
15h 14m
active
kalshi

Above $4224

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$25
15h 14m
active
kalshi

Above $4234

Trade
1%
Yes 3¢No 99¢
2¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$25
15h 14m
active
Total markets: 25 of 40

Description

The event tracks the precise closing price of gold at a specific moment, allowing participants to assess whether the price surpasses various thresholds. This provides insight into immediate market conditions and investor sentiment at that exact point in time.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the closing price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. If the price exceeds any specified threshold, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest two decimal places, with the closing price defined as the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For instance, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading activity from 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the given time, the most recently available published data will be used to determine the resolution.