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402,751

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30,217

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Foldable iPhone Announced Price?
polymarket
predict

Foldable iPhone Announced Price?

Volume:
$378,141

$1,800+

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 9, 2026

Closed: Sep 9, 4:17 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$1,800+

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$41,757
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 9h 4m
Yes
predict

$1,800+

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$1,230
$5,886
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 9h 4m
No
polymarket

$1,900+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,432
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 9h 4m
Yes
predict

$2,000+

View
1%
87%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$83
$14,046
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 9h 4m
No
polymarket

$2,000+

View
0%
87%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$130,294
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 9h 4m
No
predict

$2,200+

View
1%
40%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$869
$12,618
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 9h 4m
No
polymarket

$2,200+

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54,279
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 9h 4m
No
predict

$2,400+

View
1%
2%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$117
$8,689
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 9h 4m
No
polymarket

$2,400+

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,569
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 9h 4m
No
predict

$2,100+

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$8
$4,740
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 9h 4m
No
polymarket

$2,100+

View
0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,925
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 9h 4m
No
predict

$2,300+

View
1%
14%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$118
$4,359
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 9h 4m
No
polymarket

$2,300+

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,638
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 9h 4m
No
predict

$2,600+

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$121
$744
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 9h 4m
No
polymarket

$2,600+

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,165
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 9h 4m
No
Total markets: 15

Intro

This market tracks whether the initial price of Apple’s first foldable iPhone will be at least $1,800. Currently, the consensus probability is 99.0% that the answer is yes. This prediction aggregates data from Polymarket and Predict, and will resolve based on official statements from Apple, with credible reporting used as a consensus if needed. Forecasters are closely watching for Apple’s expected announcement window around October 1, 2026, which will reveal the starting price and ultimately settle this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict use identical resolution criteria regarding price thresholds, eligible products, price inclusions/exclusions, and the fallback resolution if no announcement is made.Primary resolution logic: Official statements from Apple. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the lowest starting price (USD) of the first announced foldable iPhone configuration for the US market.
  • The announced price must be greater than or equal to the specified threshold for a 'Yes' resolution.
  • Prices announced for other regions or higher storage configurations are not considered.
  • If no foldable iPhone is announced with a price by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to 'No'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Multiple Models Announced: If Apple announces multiple foldable iPhone models, the lowest starting price across all models will be used for resolution.
  • Non-iPhone Branded Foldable: Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple qualifies as a foldable iPhone, even if not explicitly branded as such.
Timing: Resolution will occur after Apple publicly announces the price of a foldable iPhone, or on September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if no announcement is made.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

Apple is scheduled to hold its "Surprise and Shine" event at 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first price publicly announced by Apple for a foldable iPhone for the US market is greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The price used for resolution will be the starting price (USD) as first announced by Apple for the lowest-priced configuration of a foldable iPhone in the US market, before taxes, carrier subsidies, trade-in credits, promotional discounts, or bundled services. Prices announced for other regions or for higher storage configurations will not be used. Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify as a foldable iPhone, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone. If Apple announces prices for more than one foldable iPhone model, the lowest announced starting price will be used. If Apple does not publicly announce a price for a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Predict

Apple is scheduled to hold its "Surprise and Shine" event at 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first price publicly announced by Apple for a foldable iPhone for the US market is greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The price used for resolution will be the starting price (USD) as first announced by Apple for the lowest-priced configuration of a foldable iPhone in the US market, before taxes, carrier subsidies, trade-in credits, promotional discounts, or bundled services. Prices announced for other regions or for higher storage configurations will not be used. Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify as a foldable iPhone, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone. If Apple announces prices for more than one foldable iPhone model, the lowest announced starting price will be used. If Apple does not publicly announce a price for a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this market tracks predictions on the initial announced price of Apple’s first foldable iPhone. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $378,141, with $277,669 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard provides a consensus view of what traders believe the price will be, reflecting collective intelligence on Apple’s product strategy and market positioning. This allows for a comprehensive look at expectations surrounding the foldable iPhone price, as expressed through the foldable iPhone price market.

Prices on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to variations in trader demographics, liquidity, and market-specific rules. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, Polymarket might attract more technically-focused traders, while Predict could have a broader user base with varying levels of expertise. Differences in trading fees, market creation incentives, and the overall volume traded on each platform also contribute to price discrepancies. These factors create distinct market dynamics, leading to potentially different assessments of the foldable iPhone's likely price point.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Leaks regarding Apple’s supply chain costs, particularly for the foldable display, could influence price expectations. Official announcements from Apple regarding the development timeline or key features of the foldable iPhone would also be impactful. Broader economic conditions, such as inflation or consumer spending trends, could affect the perceived willingness to pay for a premium device. Finally, competitor announcements regarding their own foldable phone offerings could create comparative pressure and shift sentiment in this market.