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410,482

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Fed Decision in October?
limitless

Fed Decision in October?

Volume:
$996

No change

 - Limitless

No change - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 28, 2026

Closed: Oct 28, 4:43 PM EST

limitless

Limitless

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

No change

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$236
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

25 bps increase

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$431
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

50+ bps decrease

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$197
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

25 bps decrease

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$131
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

50+ bps increase

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Limitless

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Frequently asked questions

On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, traders set the odds through buying and selling contracts that pay out based on the Fed’s actual decision. The current price reflects the collective bet on each possible outcome — for instance, a 60 percent chance of ‘no change’ might push that contract’s price to $0.60. Liquidity and recent trades drive fluctuations, so rapid shifts in sentiment can move the market quickly. Unlike static polls, this price adjusts in real time as new information hits, giving a dynamic snapshot of market expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. After the Federal Open Market Committee announces its decision, the market automatically settles based on the official rate change — whether it’s a hike, cut, or hold. No manual intervention is needed; the result is checked against publicly released statements and data, ensuring an objective, transparent close. Traders will see the final settlement reflected instantly once the market closes.

Key signals that could shift this market include upcoming U.S. jobs reports, inflation data releases, and any unscheduled speeches from Federal Reserve officials. A hotter-than-expected CPI print, for example, might push odds toward a rate hike, while a surprise drop in wage growth could boost the chance of a cut. Additionally, geopolitical developments or major moves in the dollar index can influence trader sentiment. Each new data point rebalances bets, so volatility often spikes ahead of major economic announcements or FOMC communication.