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2,985,204,718

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$1,901,278,909

407,043

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4,422

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5

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Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
polymarket

Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026

Volume:
$88,787

1.2-1.5%

 - Polymarket

1.2-1.5% - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 8:01 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1.2-1.5%

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,416
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

0.8-1.1%

View
0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50,578
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

0.4-0.7%

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,844
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.6-1.9%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,636
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

0.0-0.3%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,353
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<0.0%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,028
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2.0%+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,931
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks the real-time odds and price movements for the Eurozone GDP growth market, alongside 24-hour volume of $9,448. It shows how traders on Polymarket are betting on the size of GDP expansion in the Eurozone for the relevant quarter, reflecting market expectations updated continuously throughout trading.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often capture a broader range of expectations, including tail risks and sentiment shifts not fully reflected in consensus models. While analysts may provide detailed quarterly projections, traders on Polymarket continuously adjust positions based on new data, economic indicators, and policy signals, which can lead to divergence or alignment depending on recent events.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final GDP figure for the Eurozone in Q3 2026 will determine which outcome is correct, based on official data releases from Eurostat or other authoritative sources.

Several signals could shift this market before Oct 30, 2026: key Eurozone economic releases such as manufacturing PMI, services data, and consumer confidence indices; major policy decisions or statements from the European Central Bank; geopolitical developments impacting trade or energy supply; and broader global growth trends influencing investor risk appetite and currency valuations. Each of these can reshape expectations for quarterly GDP growth.