TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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Ethos FDV above ___ one day after launch?
polymarket

Ethos FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Volume:
$96,389

$25M

 - Polymarket

$25M - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 7:15 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$25M

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,653
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 1mo 4w
Yes
polymarket

$18M

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,257
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 1mo 4w
Yes
polymarket

$12M

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,924
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 1mo 4w
Yes
polymarket

$100M

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,852
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 1mo 4w
No
polymarket

$75M

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,668
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 1mo 4w
No
polymarket

$50M

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,346
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 1mo 4w
No
polymarket

$35M

View
0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,689
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 1mo 4w
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ethos's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Ethos after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ethos (https://x.com/ethos_network) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ethos's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Ethos after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ethos (https://x.com/ethos_network) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Ethos FDV market tracks the current odds that Ethos’s fully diluted valuation (FDV) will be above a specified threshold one day after launch. You’ll find a price curve reflecting the probability of different outcomes, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $24,456. The total volume traded on this market is $96,389. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and activity related to the potential FDV of Ethos.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of the event occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the price, with higher volume generally leading to tighter spreads. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism for this market.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2028, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the FDV of Ethos will be assessed one day after its launch, and the market will settle based on whether that FDV is above the predetermined threshold. The resolution will rely on publicly available data sources to determine the accurate FDV at the specified time. Traders should monitor these sources as the resolution date approaches.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Positive news regarding Ethos’s partnerships, technological advancements, or adoption rate could drive up the price of shares, increasing the probability of the FDV exceeding the target. Conversely, negative news, such as security vulnerabilities or regulatory challenges, could decrease confidence and lower the price. The overall market sentiment towards crypto assets and the performance of similar projects will also play a role in shaping the direction of this market.