TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 12:11 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect what traders believe is the most likely price range for Ethereum on October 30. These expectations can differ from those found in traditional spot markets or analyst predictions. While spot prices represent the current cost of Ethereum, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, forecasting a future price. If a significant difference emerges between the prediction market price and broader expectations, it could indicate unique insights or a contrarian view held by those trading here. It’s a way to gauge collective belief about Ethereum’s future value.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Ethereum as recorded on a widely recognized exchange at a specific time on October 30. The exact price used for resolution will be determined by the platform’s established procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent process. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their chosen outcome aligns with the verified price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major news regarding Ethereum’s development, such as successful upgrades or unforeseen technical issues, could shift trader sentiment. Broader macroeconomic events, like changes in interest rates or inflation data, often influence crypto prices. Regulatory announcements concerning cryptocurrency, particularly Ethereum, could also cause substantial price movements. Finally, significant shifts in the overall crypto market, driven by events affecting Bitcoin or other major altcoins, could also move this market.