TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 12:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective on expectations for the Ethereum price compared to those reflected in traditional spot markets or analyst forecasts. This market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, allowing traders to express their beliefs about future price movements. If the market consistently shows a significantly different outlook than prevailing analyst estimates, it suggests a divergence in sentiment. Examining this difference can be valuable for understanding how informed traders perceive potential risks and opportunities related to Ethereum.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the final Ethereum price. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares bought for a particular price range, the higher the implied probability of Ethereum being within that range on the resolution date. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of its participants, constantly adjusting to new information and changing perspectives.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Ethereum price on October 29, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized and trusted source for Ethereum pricing data. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome. It’s important to monitor the market as the resolution date approaches, as trading volume and price movements may become more volatile.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market between now and Oct 29, 2026. Major developments in Ethereum’s technology, such as successful upgrades or unforeseen vulnerabilities, could influence price expectations. Regulatory announcements regarding cryptocurrency, particularly Ethereum, from key governments or financial institutions, are also likely to cause movement. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or inflation, and overall sentiment in the cryptocurrency market will also play a role in shaping the Ethereum price market.