TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 12:11 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast for the Ethereum price on October 26. These odds represent what traders believe is the probability of Ethereum trading above or below certain price points at that time. This differs from simple spot price expectations, which are just a snapshot of the current price. This market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a more informed view of future price movements than individual analysts' predictions. It's a way to see how a diverse group anticipates Ethereum's performance leading up to the specified date.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Ethereum as recorded by a widely recognized and trusted source at the specified time. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome. Traders should monitor news and data releases leading up to Oct 26, 2026 as these could influence the final price and, therefore, the market's resolution.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 26, 2026. Major developments in the Ethereum network, such as successful upgrades or unexpected technical issues, could impact price expectations. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or inflation, could also play a role. Regulatory announcements concerning cryptocurrency, particularly Ethereum, are another key catalyst. Finally, significant shifts in market sentiment, perhaps driven by influential figures or major news events, could lead to substantial price fluctuations and changes in this market’s odds.