TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:53 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional spot price expectations, as they reflect not just a belief about the future price, but also the perceived risk and uncertainty surrounding that price. This market aggregates the views of many individual traders, potentially capturing information and insights not readily available in polls or analyst reports. While spot price expectations are based on current market conditions, the odds here represent a probabilistic forecast of where the price will be on Oct 24, 2026. This can be a useful tool for understanding the broader range of possible outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell contracts that pay out based on the final Ethereum price. The price of these contracts directly reflects the market’s implied probability of different price outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, creating a dynamic price discovery process. The current volume is $49,962, indicating the level of interest and activity in this particular market. This creates a constantly updated forecast of Ethereum's price.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Ethereum as reported by a widely recognized and trusted source at a specific time on that date. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual outcome. This provides a clear and objective way to determine the winner of this market, based on the prevailing price of Ethereum at the designated resolution time.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 24, 2026. Major developments in the Ethereum network, such as successful upgrades or unexpected vulnerabilities, could impact price expectations. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or inflation, can also influence investor sentiment towards cryptocurrencies. Regulatory announcements regarding cryptocurrency regulation could also create volatility. Finally, significant news related to the adoption of Ethereum by institutions or developers could shift the odds in this market, reflecting changing perceptions of its future value.