TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 12:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a strong expectation that the price of Ethereum will fall within a specific range on October 17. This contrasts with broader spot price expectations, which are influenced by a wider array of factors including news sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and technical analysis. While spot prices represent the current market value, this market aggregates informed speculation about a future price point. Discrepancies between the two can present potential arbitrage opportunities for traders who believe the market is mispricing the likelihood of different outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Ethereum price on October 17 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Ethereum as reported by a widely-recognized and trusted source. The specific price range that corresponds to the winning outcome will be determined by the actual price at the specified time. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result of this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 17, 2026. Major developments in Ethereum’s network, such as successful upgrades or unexpected vulnerabilities, could influence price expectations. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or inflation data, could also impact investor sentiment towards cryptocurrencies. Regulatory news, particularly regarding the legal status of Ethereum or related DeFi applications, could create substantial price volatility. Finally, significant shifts in market sentiment driven by influential figures or large-scale trading activity could also move this market.