TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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Crypto
Ethereum price on October 16?
polymarket

Ethereum price on October 16?

Volume:
$83,902

2,400-2,500

 - Polymarket

2,400-2,500 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 16, 12:14 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

2,400-2,500

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,739
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2,300-2,400

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,519
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,200-2,300

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,016
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,500-2,600

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,693
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,600-2,700

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,181
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,700-2,800

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,189
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,100-2,200

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,412
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,800-2,900

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,308
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>2,900

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,000-2,100

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$650
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<2,000

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Ethereum price market tracks the current implied probability of different price ranges for Ethereum on October 16. You can view the odds for each possible outcome, along with the 24-hour volume traded, which currently stands at $54,325. The total volume for this market is $83,902. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are pricing the likelihood of various Ethereum price points, offering insights into market sentiment surrounding this cryptocurrency.

Currently, the odds in this market reflect a collective forecast for the Ethereum price on October 16. These predictions are derived from the willingness of traders to buy or sell contracts representing different price ranges. Comparing this to spot price expectations from analysts or polls reveals whether the 'wisdom of the crowd' aligns with expert opinions. If analysts predict a higher price than what’s implied by this market, it suggests traders are more bearish, and vice versa. This comparison offers a unique perspective on potential price movements.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different Ethereum price ranges. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the perceived probability of that price range occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price of a contract will increase if many traders believe the corresponding price range is likely, and decrease if they believe it is unlikely. The market's overall price discovery process is driven by the collective actions of participants.

This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Ethereum price on October 16 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the closing price of Ethereum as reported by a widely recognized and trusted source. The specific price range that corresponds to the actual Ethereum price at the specified time will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their losing positions.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 16, 2026. Major regulatory announcements regarding cryptocurrencies, particularly Ethereum, could trigger price swings. Unexpected news related to the Ethereum network, such as successful upgrades or security breaches, would also likely move the market. Broader macroeconomic events, like changes in interest rates or inflation data, could impact investor sentiment towards risk assets like cryptocurrencies. Finally, significant shifts in market sentiment driven by influential figures or large institutional investments could also play a role.