TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Crypto
Ethereum price on October 13?
polymarket

Ethereum price on October 13?

Volume:
$41,370

2,500-2,600

 - Polymarket

2,500-2,600 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 13, 2026

Closed: Oct 13, 12:14 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

2,500-2,600

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,673
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2,400-2,500

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,728
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,300-2,400

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,002
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,600-2,700

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,425
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<2,300

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,677
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,700-2,800

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,596
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,800-2,900

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,900-3,000

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

3,000-3,100

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

3,100-3,200

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>3,200

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Ethereum price market tracks the current implied probability of various price outcomes for Ethereum on October 13. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, along with the trading volume over the past 24 hours, currently at $29,118. The total volume traded in this market is $41,366. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and identify potential opportunities. The dashboard provides a dynamic view of how predictions are evolving as new information becomes available, offering a real-time pulse on expectations.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a range of expectations for the Ethereum price, often differing from those found in traditional polls or analyst forecasts. While spot price expectations might be based on technical analysis or news events, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing a forward-looking assessment of probability. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies and the incentives inherent in prediction markets, where traders are financially motivated to accurately forecast the outcome. These differences can be insightful for understanding market biases and potential mispricings.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the Ethereum price on October 13. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the market. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changing conditions and provides a real-time estimate of expectations. The current trading volume indicates active participation and a degree of uncertainty surrounding the outcome.

This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Ethereum price on October 13 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized and trusted source for Ethereum pricing data. Traders should monitor news and data releases leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about potential factors that could influence the outcome. Successful predictions will be rewarded based on the final market odds at the time of resolution, incentivizing accurate forecasting and informed participation.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 13, 2026. Major developments in Ethereum’s technology, such as successful upgrades or unexpected vulnerabilities, could impact price expectations. Regulatory announcements concerning cryptocurrency, particularly Ethereum, could also trigger substantial shifts in sentiment. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or inflation, and overall market sentiment towards risk assets could also play a role. Unexpected news regarding competing cryptocurrencies or significant adoption events could also influence trading activity in this market.