TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
2,200-2,300
- Polymarket
2,200-2,300 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 8, 2026
Time left: 05d:20h:32m
$
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast for the Ethereum price on November 8. These odds represent what traders believe is the probability of Ethereum falling within specific price ranges. Comparing this to spot price expectations from analysts or polls reveals how the ‘wisdom of the crowd’ on Polymarket differs from traditional forecasting methods. If analysts predict a higher price than what’s implied by this market, it suggests traders are more bearish, and vice versa. This comparison can offer a unique perspective on potential price movements.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different Ethereum price ranges. The price of each contract reflects the perceived probability of that price range being correct on November 8. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief about the Ethereum price. The most actively traded contracts indicate the price ranges traders consider most likely, providing a real-time assessment of market sentiment. The current top outcome, with a chance of 28.5%, is Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on November 8?
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Ethereum as recorded on a widely recognized exchange at a specific time on November 8. The exact price used for resolution will be determined by Polymarket’s established procedures for verifying market outcomes. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions based on the final verified price.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 8, 2026. Major news regarding Ethereum’s development, such as successful upgrades or unexpected delays, could impact prices. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or inflation data, often influence crypto markets. Regulatory announcements concerning cryptocurrency regulations could also cause volatility. Finally, significant shifts in market sentiment, perhaps triggered by prominent figures or large institutional investments, could lead to substantial price swings and changes in the odds within this market.