TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:18h:13m
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This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than many traditional spot price expectations for Ethereum. While analysts often rely on technical indicators and fundamental analysis, this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are putting their capital at risk. This difference in outlook can be significant, especially during periods of high uncertainty or when new information emerges. It’s important to consider both viewpoints when forming your own assessment of where the Ethereum price might be headed.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different potential Ethereum prices. The price of each share reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that specific price occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular price is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market continuously adjusts to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Ethereum as reported by a widely recognized and trusted financial data provider at a specific time on November 7, 2026. The exact price used for resolution will be determined by the platform’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major developments in Ethereum’s technology, such as successful upgrades or unexpected vulnerabilities, could shift trader sentiment. Regulatory announcements regarding cryptocurrency, particularly in key jurisdictions, are also likely to cause price fluctuations. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or inflation, could also influence the Ethereum price. Finally, significant shifts in the overall cryptocurrency market, driven by events like Bitcoin price movements, could also move this market.