TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Ethereum price on November 4?
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polymarket

Ethereum price on November 4?

Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM EST - Nov 4, 2026, 12:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$7,189
Volume 24h:
$594
265%
Liquidity:
$75,787
43%
Open interest:
$6,343N/A

2,200-2,300

 - Polymarket

2,200-2,300 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 4, 2026

Time left: 01d:20h:33m

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on November 4?

41%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 43¢ buys you 233 shares | Odds: 41% Total Payout: $233 | Net Profit: $133 Multiplier: 2.33x | ROI: 133% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

2,200-2,300

Trade
41%
9%
Yes 43¢No 61¢
4¢
$1,030
$352
24%
N/A
N/A
1d 20h 33m
Active
polymarket

2,300-2,400

Trade
27%
Yes 29¢No 75¢
4¢
$16,447
$1,231
7%
N/A
N/A
1d 20h 33m
Active
polymarket

2,100-2,200

Trade
19%
Yes 21¢No 84¢
5¢
$18,327
$2,415
0%
N/A
N/A
1d 20h 33m
Active
polymarket

2,400-2,500

Trade
6%
4%
Yes 7¢No 96¢
3¢
$1,202
$8
0%
N/A
N/A
1d 20h 33m
Active
polymarket

2,000-2,100

Trade
3%
2%
Yes 4.4¢No 98¢
2.4¢
$10,577
$1,465
42%
N/A
N/A
1d 20h 33m
Active
polymarket

2,500-2,600

Trade
1%
1%
Yes 1.5¢No 99¢
0.5¢
$1,461
$50
0%
N/A
N/A
1d 20h 33m
Active
polymarket

1,900-2,000

Trade
1%
1%
Yes 1.2¢No 99¢
0.2¢
$1,258
$21
0%
N/A
N/A
1d 20h 33m
Active
polymarket

<1,900

Trade
1%
Yes 1.8¢No 99.7¢
1.5¢
$21,355
$1,537
0%
N/A
N/A
1d 20h 33m
Active
polymarket

>2,800

Trade
1%
Yes 1.1¢No 99¢
0.1¢
$1,601
$5
0%
N/A
N/A
1d 20h 33m
Active
polymarket

2,600-2,700

Trade
1%
Yes 1.2¢No 99.7¢
0.9¢
$1,274
$50
0%
N/A
N/A
1d 20h 33m
Active
polymarket

2,700-2,800

Trade
1%
Yes 1.1¢No 99.7¢
0.8¢
$1,256
$55
0%
N/A
N/A
1d 20h 33m
Active
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Ethereum price market tracks the current implied probability of various price outcomes for Ethereum on November 4th. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, along with the market’s price history, allowing you to see how sentiment has shifted over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $604, which indicates the level of activity and interest in this particular market. Total volume traded to date is $7,189.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect immediate buying and selling pressure, this market represents a collective forecast of what traders believe the Ethereum price will be on November 4th. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, information advantages held by traders, or simply varying interpretations of future events. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into market sentiment and potential price movements, offering a forward-looking view beyond current market conditions.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the future Ethereum price. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the market price adjusts to reflect the aggregated wisdom of the crowd. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and evolving expectations regarding Ethereum's value.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Ethereum price on November 4th is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized and trusted source for Ethereum pricing data. The specific price used for resolution will be determined by the platform’s established methodology, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome for all participants. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the resolved result.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 4, 2026. Major developments in Ethereum’s ecosystem, such as successful upgrades or the launch of new decentralized applications, could positively impact the price. Conversely, negative news regarding regulatory scrutiny, security breaches, or increased competition from other cryptocurrencies could exert downward pressure. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or inflation, and overall market sentiment towards risk assets will also play a role in shaping the price expectations reflected in this market.