TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 12:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a range of expectations for the Ethereum price on November 1. These expectations are formed by traders directly wagering on the outcome, which provides a different signal than traditional polls or analyst forecasts. While analysts may offer price targets based on technical or fundamental analysis, this market represents a real-money assessment of probability. Discrepancies between the market’s implied price and external forecasts can highlight areas of disagreement or potential opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Ethereum as recorded on a widely recognized exchange at a specific time on November 1. The exact price used for resolution will be determined by the platform’s established procedures, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the outcome. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the final verified price.
Several signals or events could significantly influence this market. Major developments in Ethereum’s technology, such as successful upgrades or unexpected vulnerabilities, could shift trader sentiment. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or inflation, can also impact cryptocurrency prices. Regulatory announcements concerning cryptocurrency or blockchain technology could create volatility. Finally, significant news regarding the adoption of Ethereum by institutions or large corporations could also move the market. These factors, and others, will be weighed by traders as they update their predictions leading up to Nov 1, 2026.