TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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63%

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Ethereum above ___ on October 7?
polymarket

Will Ethereum be above the price on October 7?

Volume:
$460,494

2,500

 - Polymarket

2,500 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 7, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 12:24 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

2,500

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$88,016
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2,400

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$35,016
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2,200

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26,314
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2,300

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,127
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2,600

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$83,699
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,700

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$66,144
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,900

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55,642
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,800

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51,340
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

3,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,832
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

3,100

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,046
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

3,200

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,319
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether the price of Ethereum will be above $2,500 on October 7, 2026. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to that outcome. Resolution will be based on the 12:00 PM ET Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close on the specified date, as reported directly by Binance at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT. Keep a close watch on the price of Ethereum leading up to October 7, 2026, as the final Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close will determine the market’s outcome.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Ethereum price market tracks the current implied probability of Ethereum being above a specified price on Oct 7, 2026. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, along with the trading volume over the past 24 hours, currently at $310,624. The dashboard also displays the total volume traded to date, which is $460,494. This allows users to quickly assess market sentiment and activity surrounding the future price of Ethereum.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect immediate buying and selling pressure, this market aggregates the beliefs of many traders regarding Ethereum's price on Oct 7, 2026. Discrepancies can arise due to factors like risk aversion, information asymmetry, or differing interpretations of future events. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into the collective wisdom of the crowd and potential market inefficiencies.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of Ethereum being above the target price on Oct 7, 2026. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s depth and liquidity, indicated by the trading volume, influence how efficiently the price incorporates new information.

This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a publicly available price feed for Ethereum at a specified time on that date. The exact price used for resolution will be determined by Polymarket’s standard procedures, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of whether Ethereum was trading above the specified level.

Several signals and events could significantly impact this market. Major developments in Ethereum’s ecosystem, such as successful upgrades or the launch of new decentralized applications, could boost confidence and drive up the price of shares. Conversely, negative news regarding regulatory scrutiny, security vulnerabilities, or increased competition from other cryptocurrencies could lower prices. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or inflation, could also influence investor sentiment and affect trading activity in this market.