TOTAL VOLUME:

$147.8b

24H VOL:

$153,964,051

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,815,744,871

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,809,858,743

498,684

Markets across

37,244

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,831

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Ethereum above ___ on October 19?
polymarket

Will Ethereum be above the price on October 19?

Volume:
$318,911

2,200

 - Polymarket

2,200 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 12:11 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

2,200

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$56,872
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2,300

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$54,406
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,590
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2,100

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,490
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2,400

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70,815
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,500

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$49,169
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,600

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,330
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,700

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,610
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,800

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,554
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,900

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

3,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Ethereum price market tracks the current implied probability of Ethereum being above a certain price on October 19, 2026. It also displays the trading volume over the past 24 hours, currently at $206,762, and the total volume traded to date, which is $306,788. Users can view the price history of the market, allowing them to analyze how predictions have shifted over time. This provides a real-time view of where traders stand on the future price of Ethereum.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect immediate market sentiment, this market aggregates the beliefs of informed traders regarding Ethereum's price on a specific future date. Discrepancies between the two can arise due to factors like risk aversion, speculation, and differing time horizons. Analyzing these differences can reveal valuable insights into market sentiment and potential future price movements, offering a forward-looking view not always available from spot markets.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of Ethereum being above the specified price on October 19, 2026. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment surrounding Ethereum.

This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Ethereum at a specific time on October 19, 2026, as reported by a widely recognized and trusted source. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual outcome, reflecting the collective forecast made within this market.

Several signals and events could significantly impact this market. Major developments in Ethereum's technology, such as successful upgrades or security breaches, could shift trader sentiment. Regulatory announcements regarding cryptocurrency, particularly Ethereum, would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or inflation, could also influence the market. Finally, significant shifts in the overall cryptocurrency market, including Bitcoin's performance, could indirectly affect predictions within this market.