TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
1,900
- Polymarket
1,900 - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 8, 2026
Time left: 05d:19h:06m
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a strong belief that Ethereum will be above a certain price point on November 8. This contrasts with broader spot price expectations, which, as of today, are more uncertain. It’s important to remember that prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, allowing traders to express their views on future events. This market provides a forward-looking perspective, potentially incorporating information not yet fully reflected in current spot prices. The difference in sentiment can be a useful signal for those following the cryptocurrency space.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of Ethereum being above a certain price on November 8. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the market. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment regarding Ethereum’s potential price trajectory.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will depend on the price of Ethereum at a specific time on November 8, as determined by a widely recognized and publicly available source. The exact price used for resolution will be based on the platform’s established methodology, which is designed to ensure a fair and transparent outcome. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions in this market.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major regulatory announcements concerning cryptocurrencies, particularly Ethereum, would likely cause a shift in trading activity. Significant technological developments or upgrades to the Ethereum network could also influence the market. Macroeconomic factors, such as changes in interest rates or inflation, could also play a role. Finally, broader market sentiment towards cryptocurrencies and risk assets will undoubtedly affect the price action within this market.