TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
1,800
- Polymarket
1,800 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 6, 2026
Time left: 03d:11h:34m
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Currently, the odds on Polymarket suggest a strong belief that Ethereum will be above a certain price point on November 6. These predictions, formed through the collective wisdom of traders, often differ from traditional spot price expectations or analyst forecasts. This market provides a unique perspective, aggregating diverse opinions into a quantifiable probability. It’s a way to gauge market confidence beyond simple price charts and news headlines, offering a forward-looking assessment of Ethereum’s potential value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of Ethereum being above the specified level on November 6. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares bought, the higher the price, and vice versa, dynamically adjusting the implied probability. This creates a liquid market for forecasting, where participants can express and profit from their views on Ethereum’s future price.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Ethereum at a specific time on November 6, as determined by a widely recognized and publicly available source. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual price at the time of resolution, reflecting the collective forecast made within this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major news regarding Ethereum’s development, such as successful upgrades or unexpected technical issues, would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader macroeconomic trends, including interest rate changes or shifts in investor risk appetite, could also play a role. Regulatory announcements concerning cryptocurrency, particularly Ethereum, could also move the market. Finally, significant movements in the price of Bitcoin, often seen as a leading indicator, could influence trading activity in this market.