TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Crypto
Ethereum above ___ on November 5?
polymarket

Will Ethereum be above its price on November 5?

Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 PM EST - Nov 5, 2026, 12:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$24,810
Volume 24h:
$5,200
43%
Liquidity:
$241,526
0.76%
Open interest:
$20,947N/A

1,900

 - Polymarket

1,900 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 5, 2026

Time left: 02d:19h:06m

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on November 5?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 99.9¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0.1% | APY: 13% 2 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1,900

Trade
99%
1%
Yes 99.9¢No 2.2¢
2.1¢
$31,808
$4,039
0%
N/A
N/A
2d 19h 6m
Active
polymarket

2,000

97%
1%
Yes 97.8¢No 4¢
1.8¢
$32,032
$4,029
3%
N/A
N/A
2d 19h 6m
Active
polymarket

2,100

92%
1%
Yes 93¢No 9¢
2¢
$32,104
$1,182
835%
N/A
N/A
2d 19h 6m
Active
polymarket

2,200

73%
1%
Yes 74¢No 28¢
2¢
$32,216
$8,571
39%
N/A
N/A
2d 19h 6m
Active
polymarket

2,300

34%
4%
Yes 35¢No 67¢
2¢
$10,559
$471
206%
N/A
N/A
2d 19h 6m
Active
polymarket

2,400

11%
3%
Yes 11¢No 90¢
1¢
$13,278
$698
154%
N/A
N/A
2d 19h 6m
Active
polymarket

2,500

3%
Yes 3.7¢No 98.4¢
2.1¢
$13,536
$894
2,565%
N/A
N/A
2d 19h 6m
Active
polymarket

2,600

1%
1%
Yes 2¢No 99.3¢
1.3¢
$35,484
$4,535
0%
N/A
N/A
2d 19h 6m
Active
polymarket

2,800

1%
Yes 1.1¢No 99¢
0.1¢
$14,554
$95
0%
N/A
N/A
2d 19h 6m
Active
polymarket

2,700

1%
Yes 1.3¢No 99.5¢
0.8¢
$13,031
$255
0%
N/A
N/A
2d 19h 6m
Active
polymarket

2,900

0%
1%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.9¢
0.6¢
$12,924
$42
0%
N/A
N/A
2d 19h 6m
Active
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Ethereum price market tracks the current implied probability of Ethereum being above a certain price on November 5th. It displays the trading volume over the past 24 hours, currently at $5,200, and the total volume traded to date, which is $24,810. You can also see a history of how the probabilities have shifted over time, giving you insight into market sentiment. This provides a real-time view of where traders stand on the future price of Ethereum.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect immediate buying and selling pressure, this market aggregates the beliefs of informed traders regarding the price of Ethereum on a specific date in the future. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability in this market and analyst forecasts, it could signal an opportunity or a disagreement about future market conditions. It’s important to consider both viewpoints when forming your own assessment.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the market's collective probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares bought, the higher the price goes, indicating increasing confidence in Ethereum being above the specified price on November 5th, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and sentiment.

This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Ethereum at a specified time on November 5th, as determined by a widely recognized and reliable data source. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their shares correctly predicted if Ethereum was above the target price at that moment. This ensures a transparent and objective outcome for all participants.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major news regarding Ethereum’s development, such as successful upgrades or unexpected delays, could impact trader sentiment. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or inflation data, could also influence the price of Ethereum and, consequently, this market. Regulatory announcements concerning cryptocurrency regulations, or significant shifts in institutional investment, are other potential catalysts that could drive price movements and alter the probabilities reflected in this market.