TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Crypto
ETH price on Oct 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

ETH price on Oct 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$506,123

$1,750 or above

 - Kalshi

$1,750 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$1,750 or above

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$82,000
N/A
N/A
$42,000
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,470 or above

100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$73,419
N/A
N/A
$20,678
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,430 or above

100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$38,852
N/A
N/A
$10,557
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,390 or above

100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,218
N/A
N/A
$6,456
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,310 or above

100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,715
N/A
N/A
$10,664
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,990 or above

100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,731
N/A
N/A
$9,731
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,350 or above

100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,178
N/A
N/A
$3,779
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,830 or above

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$641
N/A
N/A
$641
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,270 or above

100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$405
N/A
N/A
$405
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,790 or above

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,230 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$188
N/A
N/A
$188
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,150 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,510 or above

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$114,984
N/A
N/A
$41,694
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,550 or above

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52,194
N/A
N/A
$16,640
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,590 or above

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,356
N/A
N/A
$14,598
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,630 or above

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,765
N/A
N/A
$18,513
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,790 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,532
N/A
N/A
$3,957
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,750 or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,586
N/A
N/A
$4,099
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,710 or above

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,146
N/A
N/A
$2,205
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,830 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,942
N/A
N/A
$3,525
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,670 or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,730
N/A
N/A
$2,484
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,870 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,819
N/A
N/A
$1,773
Settled
No
kalshi

$3,350 or above

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,149
N/A
N/A
$1,149
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,910 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$950
N/A
N/A
$583
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,950 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$369
N/A
N/A
$219
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 50

Intro

This market tracks whether the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) will be above $1749.99 at 5 PM EDT on October 9, 2026. Currently, the probability of this outcome occurring on Kalshi is 99.0%. The resolution source for this market is CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI). Traders should closely watch the price of Ethereum leading up to October 9, 2026, as the market will resolve based on the ERTI price at 5 PM EDT on that date.

Kalshi

All markets in this event resolve based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) immediately before 5 PM EDT on October 9, 2026. For each market, if this average exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., $1,750, $1,790, etc.), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The official price is determined by collecting 60 ERTI prices during the final minute before expiration and averaging them. This methodology ensures consistency across all thresholds, with each market independently evaluating whether Ethereum's price meets or exceeds its respective target at the exact resolution time.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the ETH price market dashboard tracks the current implied probability of Ethereum reaching various price points on October 9, 2026, at 5pm EDT. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, along with the historical price action of this market. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour volume, currently at $207,563, and the total volume traded to date, which stands at $506,123. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and activity surrounding the future price of ETH.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations for Ethereum. While spot prices reflect immediate supply and demand, this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders regarding the price of ETH nearly two years in the future. This forward-looking view can differ significantly from current spot prices, especially considering the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market. Analyzing the difference between these two can provide valuable insights into market sentiment and potential future price movements.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different ETH price outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the future price of ETH, as profitable trades are possible when their predictions align with the actual outcome. The current market depth and order flow provide a real-time indication of market participants’ expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be determined by a widely-recognized and publicly available source for ETH pricing at 5pm EDT on October 9, 2026. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor news and data sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about potential factors that could influence the final price.

Several signals and events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Major developments in Ethereum’s technology, such as successful upgrades or unforeseen vulnerabilities, could impact the price. Regulatory changes regarding cryptocurrencies, particularly in key jurisdictions, are also likely to cause shifts in market sentiment. Broader macroeconomic factors, like inflation rates, interest rate decisions, and global economic growth, could also play a role. Finally, significant adoption or rejection of Ethereum by institutional investors could substantially influence the price.