TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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ETH price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

ETH price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$411,148

$2,200 or above

 - Kalshi

$2,200 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$2,200 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50,288
N/A
N/A
$18,358
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,160 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50,189
N/A
N/A
$27,487
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,120 or above

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$33,230
N/A
N/A
$27,059
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,000 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,432
N/A
N/A
$8,135
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,040 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,943
N/A
N/A
$6,006
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,080 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,330
N/A
N/A
$4,584
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,960 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,975
N/A
N/A
$1,975
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,880 or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$585
N/A
N/A
$585
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,920 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$338
N/A
N/A
$196
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,240 or above

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$81,644
N/A
N/A
$25,669
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,320 or above

View
0%
59%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$57,238
N/A
N/A
$15,170
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,360 or above

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,937
N/A
N/A
$13,183
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,280 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,134
N/A
N/A
$12,620
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,440 or above

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,471
N/A
N/A
$5,214
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,400 or above

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,035
N/A
N/A
$5,648
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,680 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,102
N/A
N/A
$10,102
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,560 or above

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,490
N/A
N/A
$6,223
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,480 or above

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,300
N/A
N/A
$2,325
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,520 or above

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,317
N/A
N/A
$1,034
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,600 or above

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,030
N/A
N/A
$915
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,800 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
$70
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,640 or above

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58
N/A
N/A
$58
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,760 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,720 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,400 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 50

Description

This event tracks Ethereum's price performance at a specific future timestamp, using a standardized benchmark index to determine outcomes across multiple thresholds. Each threshold represents a distinct price level that, if surpassed, triggers a resolution for its corresponding market.

Kalshi

All markets in this event resolve based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on October 30, 2026. For each market, if this average exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., $1,400, $1,440, etc.), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' The official price is determined exclusively by CF Benchmarks' ERTI, with the final value calculated as the average of 60 RTI prices collected in the last minute before expiration. This methodology ensures consistency across all thresholds, with each market independently evaluating whether its specific price barrier has been breached at the exact closing time.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the ETH price market dashboard provides a real-time view of trading activity and price expectations for Ethereum on October 30, 2026. You can see the current implied probability of various price ranges, the total volume traded in this market—currently $410,632—and the 24-hour volume, which stands at $201,613. The dashboard also displays the highest and lowest prices traded, giving you a comprehensive overview of how traders are positioning themselves on the future value of ETH. This allows for a dynamic assessment of market sentiment.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a range of expectations for the ETH price in late 2026. These expectations, as expressed through trading in this market, can differ from those found in traditional spot price forecasts from analysts or polls. Spot price expectations often rely on modeling and fundamental analysis, while this market represents a collective, incentivized judgment of what will actually happen. Discrepancies may arise due to differing assumptions about future events, risk tolerance, or simply information advantages held by traders participating in this market.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction mechanism, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different ETH price outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the market’s collective belief about the future ETH price. This creates a real-time forecast based on the wisdom of the crowd.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the ETH price at 5pm EDT on October 30, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized and trusted source for ETH price data, ensuring an objective determination of the final price. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual ETH price at the specified time. This provides a clear and transparent resolution process for all participants.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 30, 2026. Major developments in Ethereum’s technology, such as successful upgrades or unforeseen vulnerabilities, could impact its price. Regulatory changes regarding cryptocurrencies, particularly in major economies, could also cause substantial shifts. Broader macroeconomic factors, like inflation rates, interest rate decisions, and global economic growth, will play a role. Finally, significant adoption or rejection of Ethereum by institutions or large corporations could also influence trading activity in this market.