TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks Ethereum's price performance at a specific future date and time, using a standardized benchmark index to determine outcomes across multiple thresholds. Each threshold represents a distinct price level that, if reached, triggers a resolution for the corresponding market.
The event evaluates Ethereum's price using CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) at 5 PM EDT on October 12, 2026. For each market, the resolution depends on whether the simple average of the sixty seconds of ERTI prices immediately preceding 5 PM EDT exceeds a specified threshold. Specifically, sixty price readings are collected during the final minute before expiration, and their average is compared against the predetermined level for that market. If the average is equal to or greater than the threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets share this core mechanism, differing only in their respective price thresholds, which range incrementally from $1,650 to $3,210. The use of CF Benchmarks' ERTI ensures consistency across all thresholds, with the secondary rules emphasizing that this index, rather than consumer-facing sources like Google or Coinbase, is the authoritative data source for resolution.