TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 7:30 AM EST
Predict
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between 1win and OG in the PARI Universe Group A, initially scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win the match against OG. This market will resolve to "OG" if OG win the match against 1win. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 23, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between 1win and OG in the PARI Universe Group A, initially scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win the match against OG. This market will resolve to "OG" if OG win the match against 1win. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 23, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective wisdom differs from expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates a different perspective than pre-match predictions from esports analysts. While analysts may focus on team history and player skill, the prediction market incorporates a broader range of information, including potentially unforeseen factors like player form on the day or strategic adjustments. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas where the market believes analysts are over or underestimating certain aspects of the 1win vs OG Dota 2 match.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing the different possible outcomes of the 1win vs OG Dota 2 match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards a collective assessment of the likelihood of each outcome. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and sentiment surrounding the event.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the 1win vs OG Dota 2 BO3 match as reported by the tournament organizer. The winning team, as determined by the official match results, will dictate the outcome of this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized and the results are officially verified.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Unexpected news regarding player health or roster changes for either 1win or OG would likely cause shifts in the odds. Major upsets in other matches within the PARI Universe Group A could also influence trader sentiment. In-game performance during the BO3 series itself, such as a dominant early game by one team, could lead to rapid price adjustments. Any significant information impacting the perceived strength of either team has the potential to alter the probabilities reflected in this market.