TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price of Dogecoin on a specific date and time, dividing possible outcomes into narrow numerical ranges. Each range represents a distinct resolution condition based on where the price falls at the exact moment specified.
The event resolves based on the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) measured immediately before 5:00 PM EDT on October 9, 2026. Thirty-nine distinct price ranges are defined, each spanning $0.005 increments from $0.00999900 or below up to $0.20999900 or above. If the measured average falls within any specified range at the designated time, the corresponding market resolves as 'Yes,' with all other markets resolving as 'No.' All outcomes share identical methodology and data source specifications, ensuring consistent evaluation across all ranges.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast of Dogecoin’s price on the specified date, aggregating the beliefs of numerous traders. These expectations can differ from those found in traditional spot price predictions or analyst forecasts, as this market allows participants to express their views and hedge against potential price movements. The aggregated wisdom of the crowd often provides a unique perspective, potentially identifying opportunities or risks not immediately apparent in conventional analysis. This market provides a forward-looking view, unlike historical spot prices.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different Dogecoin price ranges. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the perceived probability of Dogecoin falling within that range at the specified time. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds continuously adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment surrounding Dogecoin.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Dogecoin price at 5pm EDT on October 9, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100% in favor of the price range that contains the actual Dogecoin price at the specified time. Any contracts associated with ranges outside of the final price will settle to 0%. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure a transparent and objective outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major developments in the broader cryptocurrency space, such as regulatory changes or technological advancements, could influence Dogecoin’s price. News regarding adoption by large companies or influencers, or significant shifts in market sentiment, would likely cause movement. Macroeconomic factors, like interest rate changes or global economic conditions, could also play a role. Unexpected events, such as security breaches or major network upgrades, could also shift the probabilities reflected in this market.