TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price of Dogecoin on a specific date and time, dividing possible outcomes into narrow numerical ranges. Each range represents a potential market resolution based on where the price falls at the specified moment.
The event resolves based on the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) measured immediately before 5 PM EDT on October 30, 2026. Thirty-nine distinct price ranges, each spanning $0.005 increments from $0.0099999 or below up to $0.2 or above, define the possible outcomes. If the measured average falls within any of these ranges at the exact resolution time, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' All markets share the same measurement methodology and data source, with CF Benchmarks' index being the sole authority for price determination, regardless of other potential data sources.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast of where Dogecoin will trade on October 30, 2026. These odds often differ from simple spot price expectations or analyst predictions, as they represent a weighted assessment of information from a diverse group of traders. This market aggregates insights, potentially identifying overlooked factors and providing a more nuanced view than a single expert opinion. The market’s price action can be seen as a probabilistic forecast, expressing the likelihood of different price outcomes for Dogecoin.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts corresponding to different Dogecoin price ranges. The prices of these contracts determine the implied probabilities. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own assessments of Dogecoin’s future value. This dynamic process leads to a market price that reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd, offering a forward-looking view of Dogecoin’s potential price on October 30, 2026.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Dogecoin at 5:00 PM EDT on October 30, 2026, as reported by a widely recognized and trusted financial data source. Traders who correctly predicted the price range will receive a payout based on the contract’s terms, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake. The final price will determine which contracts settle at 100%.
Numerous signals and events could significantly impact this market. Major developments in the broader cryptocurrency market, such as regulatory changes or the adoption of Dogecoin by large institutions, could drive price movements. Technological advancements related to Dogecoin, including upgrades to its blockchain or the introduction of new features, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected news regarding Elon Musk, a prominent figure associated with Dogecoin, or shifts in social media sentiment could also create volatility in this market.