TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
$0.07 to 0.0749999
- Kalshi
$0.07 to 0.0749999 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 6, 2026
Time left: 03d:17h:03m
$
This event tracks the price of Dogecoin on a specific date and time, categorizing possible outcomes into narrow price bands. Each band represents a different price range the currency might fall into during the measurement period.
The event determines the resolution based on the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) immediately before 5 PM EST on November 6, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific price range, and the market resolving to 'Yes' is the one whose range encompasses the measured average price. All markets share the same measurement methodology and data source, ensuring consistency across outcomes. The secondary rule clarifies that while various sources may show differing prices, CF Benchmarks' index is the authoritative reference for resolution.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast of where Dogecoin will trade on November 6, 2026. These odds represent the wisdom of the crowd, aggregating the opinions of many individual traders. This differs from traditional spot price expectations, which are often based on analyst reports or individual investor sentiment. While spot price expectations are forward-looking, this market provides a quantifiable probability distribution of potential outcomes, offering a unique perspective on future price movements. It’s a way to gauge what traders believe will happen, rather than just what analysts predict.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different Dogecoin price ranges. The prices of these contracts fluctuate based on supply and demand, reflecting the evolving expectations of market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are essentially betting on which price range Dogecoin will fall into at the specified date and time, and the prices of the contracts reveal the market’s collective probability assessment. The more traders believe a particular price range is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will be.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Dogecoin price at 5pm EST on November 6, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to the price range that contains the actual Dogecoin price at that specific time. The resolution will be based on data from a widely recognized and trusted source for cryptocurrency pricing, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome for this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before its resolution. Major developments in the broader cryptocurrency market, such as changes in Bitcoin’s price or regulatory announcements, could influence Dogecoin’s value. News regarding Dogecoin’s adoption by businesses or endorsements from prominent figures could also cause price swings. Furthermore, technological advancements related to Dogecoin, or significant shifts in community sentiment, could all contribute to movement in this market. Unexpected macroeconomic events or changes in global risk appetite could also play a role.