TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the value of Dogecoin on a specific date and time, resolving based on whether the price exceeds various thresholds. The outcome depends on the cryptocurrency's performance at a precise moment, reflecting market speculation and investor sentiment around that time.
The event evaluates whether the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) exceeds specified thresholds before 5 PM EDT on October 9, 2026. Each threshold represents a distinct price level, ranging incrementally from $0.005 to $0.21. If the average price meets or surpasses a given threshold at the specified time, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets share the same measurement methodology, using CF Benchmarks' Real-Time Index as the definitive price source, ensuring consistency across thresholds. Secondary rules clarify that while public sources like Google or Coinbase may offer reference points, the official resolution relies exclusively on CF Benchmarks' data.
Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective on the potential Dogecoin price in 2026, differing from simple spot price extrapolations. While traditional financial forecasts rely on modeling and analysis of current market trends, this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are putting their capital at risk. These traders are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, potentially leading to a more accurate forecast than polls or analyst estimates. This market provides a real-time assessment of what informed participants believe the Dogecoin price will be.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different price ranges for Dogecoin. The price of each contract reflects the probability of Dogecoin falling within that range at the specified time. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus view. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information and reflects the latest expectations about the future Dogecoin price. The volume of $5,768 indicates the level of interest and activity in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Dogecoin price at 5pm EDT on October 9, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be sourced from a widely recognized and trusted exchange, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct price range will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect ranges will not. The resolution process is designed to be clear and unambiguous.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 9, 2026. Major developments in the broader cryptocurrency space, such as regulatory changes or technological breakthroughs, could impact Dogecoin’s price. News regarding adoption by major companies or influencers, or significant shifts in market sentiment, would also likely cause movement. Unexpected macroeconomic events or changes in global risk appetite could also play a role. The market will react to any information that alters perceptions of Dogecoin’s future value, reflecting the collective assessment of traders.