TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
$0.07 or above
- Kalshi
$0.07 or above - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 6, 2026
Time left: 03d:16h:54m
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This event tracks whether Dogecoin's price exceeds various thresholds by a specific date, using a standardized index for accuracy. Each threshold represents a different price level, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of the cryptocurrency reaching certain values.
The event evaluates multiple price thresholds for Dogecoin on November 6, 2026, at 5 PM EST, using the CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI). For each threshold, the market resolves to "Yes" if the 60-second average of the index before 5 PM EST exceeds the specified value (e.g., $0.005, $0.01, etc.). All markets share the same resolution time and data source, ensuring consistency across thresholds. The secondary rule clarifies that while various platforms may display different prices, CF Benchmarks' RTI is the authoritative source for determining outcomes. This structure allows participants to speculate on the probability of Dogecoin reaching diverse price points by the defined deadline.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast for the Dogecoin price on the specified date. These probabilities represent what traders believe is likely, and can differ from spot price expectations derived from traditional financial analysis or polls. It’s common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets incorporate a wider range of information and incentivize accurate forecasting through financial rewards. This market provides a unique view, aggregating the wisdom of the crowd regarding the future value of Dogecoin.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different Dogecoin price outcomes. The prices of these contracts determine the implied probabilities. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own research, news events, and overall market sentiment, constantly refining the predicted price distribution. The more a particular outcome is traded, the more confidence the market expresses in that scenario.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Dogecoin price at 5pm EST on November 6, 2026 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be sourced from a widely recognized exchange and used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the price range will receive a payout based on the contract’s value at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major developments in the broader cryptocurrency space, such as regulatory changes or technological breakthroughs, could impact Dogecoin’s price. News regarding adoption by large companies or influencers, or shifts in overall market sentiment towards meme coins, would also be key catalysts. Unexpected macroeconomic events or changes in global financial conditions could also play a role, as these factors often influence risk appetite and investment flows into volatile assets like Dogecoin.