TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

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$323,326,361

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2,984,640,614

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$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

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4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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37%

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Kalshi:

63%

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Crude Oil Up or Down - October 23, 11:45AM-12PM ET
predict

Will crude oil be up or down?

Volume:
$778

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 23, 11:45AM-12PM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 23, 11:45AM-12PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 12:00 PM EST

predict

Predict

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predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 23, 11:45AM-12PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$0
$778
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T15:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T15:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price market tracks the current odds of the price of crude oil going up or down, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time. You’ll also find the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $786, and the total volume traded to date, which is $778. This allows participants to quickly assess market sentiment and activity related to the future direction of crude oil prices. The dashboard provides a dynamic view of predictions as they evolve.

Currently, prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts frequently publish price targets and recommendations, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, reflecting a broader range of perspectives and real-time information. Often, the market can incorporate new data and adjust expectations more rapidly than traditional forecasts, potentially offering a more accurate signal of what will actually happen. It’s important to remember that both approaches have their strengths and weaknesses, but this market provides a unique, forward-looking indicator.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil between 11:45 AM ET and 12:00 PM ET on October 23rd. The market will determine whether the price increased or decreased during that 15-minute window, and payouts will be made accordingly to those who correctly predicted the direction of the price movement.

Several factors could significantly move this market before Oct 23, 2026. Unexpected geopolitical events, such as disruptions in oil-producing regions or changes in international relations, are major catalysts. Economic data releases, particularly those related to global demand or inventory levels, could also have a substantial impact. Furthermore, announcements from OPEC+ regarding production levels, or any significant shifts in currency exchange rates, could influence the price of crude oil and, consequently, this market. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential price movements.