TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Crude Oil Up or Down - October 22, 8:45AM-9AM ET
predict

Will crude oil prices go up or down?

Volume:
$772

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 22, 8:45AM-9AM ET

 - Predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 22, 8:45AM-9AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 22, 2026

Closed: Oct 22, 9:00 AM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Crude Oil Up or Down - October 22, 8:45AM-9AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$199
$772
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-22T12:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the CL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the CL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/cl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink CL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-22T12:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the crude oil price movement tracks the current implied probabilities of the price going up or down, reflecting the collective predictions of traders. It also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $772, and the total volume traded to date, which is $772. You can view a price history chart to see how the market has fluctuated over time, offering insight into trader sentiment. This allows you to gauge the market's confidence in either direction before Oct 22, 2026.

Currently, prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may provide point estimates or ranges for the crude oil price movement, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing a probability distribution of possible outcomes. This can sometimes reveal discrepancies between expert opinion and the collective judgment of traders. It's important to consider both sources of information when forming your own assessment, especially as we approach the resolution date of Oct 22, 2026.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the crude oil price movement. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective expectations of participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the probability of the price going up or down, as determined by the traders on Predict. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.

This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be determined by comparing the crude oil price at 8:45 AM – 9:00 AM ET on October 22nd to the price at 8:45 AM ET. If the price is higher, the 'Up' outcome will prevail; if it’s lower, the 'Down' outcome will be verified. Traders should monitor news and data releases leading up to this time to stay informed about potential price movements.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 22, 2026. Unexpected geopolitical events in oil-producing regions, shifts in OPEC+ production policies, or surprising economic data releases (like inventory reports or GDP figures) could all influence the crude oil price movement. Furthermore, major weather events impacting oil infrastructure, or significant changes in global demand forecasts, could also drive volatility. Traders are closely watching these factors to refine their predictions and adjust their positions in this market.