TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Match Winner
- Predict
Match Winner - Predict
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 2, 2026
Closed: Nov 2, 9:22 AM EST
Predict
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 4 match between Natus Vincere and Team Falcons in the IEM Beijing Group A, initially scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 16, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 2, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 4 match between Natus Vincere and Team Falcons in the IEM Beijing Group A, initially scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 16, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 2, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Currently, prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts frequently rely on team rankings, player statistics, and recent performance, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are actively putting their money behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to factors analysts might underestimate, such as team morale, specific map strategies, or even unexpected individual performances. It's common to see the market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially diverging from initial expert opinions.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, creating odds that reflect the probability of each outcome as perceived by the crowd. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly updating, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of Natus Vincere or Team Falcons winning the BO3 series. The more traders believe in an outcome, the higher its price and the lower its implied probability.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the best-of-three series between Natus Vincere and Team Falcons at the IEM Beijing event. The winning team, as determined by the tournament organizers and reported by reputable esports news sources, will be the basis for determining the winning contracts in this market. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out accordingly.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the match concludes. Unexpected news regarding player health, such as an injury to a key player on either Natus Vincere or Team Falcons, would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Major strategic announcements from either team, revealing changes to their map pool or playing style, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any in-game developments during the first map, such as a dominant performance by one team, will likely lead to rapid adjustments in the market as traders react to the unfolding events.