TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Consecutive days of average temperature in San Diego above 90°F - week of Aug 24, 2026
kalshi

Consecutive days of average temperature in San Diego above 90°F - week of Aug 24, 2026

Volume:
$50,863

2+ consecutive days

 - Kalshi

2+ consecutive days - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 30, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

2+ consecutive days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,316
N/A
N/A
$10,398
Settled
No
kalshi

3+ consecutive days

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,146
N/A
N/A
$9,718
Settled
No
kalshi

6+ consecutive days

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,114
N/A
N/A
$4,652
Settled
No
kalshi

5+ consecutive days

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,299
N/A
N/A
$3,782
Settled
No
kalshi

4+ consecutive days

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,989
N/A
N/A
$2,253
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks whether San Diego will experience consecutive days of high temperatures during a specific week. It focuses on the frequency and duration of periods where daily average temperatures exceed a set threshold, reflecting potential impacts on local climate patterns and daily life.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether San Diego experiences consecutive days with average temperatures strictly above 90°F during the week of August 24–30, 2026. Multiple markets within the event require varying minimum lengths of consecutive days—ranging from two to six days—to resolve to Yes. For any day to count, the average temperature must be calculated as the mean of hourly temperatures reported by The Weather Company for KSAN from midnight to midnight local time, rounded to the nearest whole degree. Exactly 90°F does not meet the condition. Only days within the specified week contribute to a streak, and any day with fewer than 18 reported hourly values invalidates the streak, resetting the count. All data used for resolution will be as published at the expiration time, with later revisions disregarded.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the San Diego heatwave market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for the likelihood of consecutive days of average temperature above 90°F during the week of August 24, 2026. It also displays current trading volume of $50,863 and 24-hour volume of $0, allowing users to monitor market sentiment and activity levels as the event approaches.

This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once official temperature recordings from recognized meteorological agencies are verified against the required consecutive days above 90°F in San Diego for the specified week. The process relies on publicly available climate data sources to establish the final result.

Key signals include updated seasonal climate forecasts from national weather services, abrupt shifts in atmospheric pressure systems affecting Southern California, and emerging reports of unusual thermal patterns over the Pacific Ocean. Any significant deviation in predicted highs or prolonged dry spells could cause traders to adjust positions, moving this market toward or away from higher probability levels as new information arrives.