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Consecutive days of average temperature in San Diego above 90°F - week of Aug 18, 2026
kalshi

Consecutive days of average temperature in San Diego above 90°F - week of Aug 18, 2026

Volume:
$35

3+ consecutive days

 - Kalshi

3+ consecutive days - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 25, 2026

Closed: Aug 24, 2:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

3+ consecutive days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
No
kalshi

4+ consecutive days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

6+ consecutive days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

5+ consecutive days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

2+ consecutive days

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks whether San Diego will experience consecutive days of high temperatures during a specific week. It focuses on the number of days in a row where the average temperature exceeds a set threshold, providing insight into potential heat patterns.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether San Diego experiences a specified number of consecutive days with average temperatures strictly above 90°F during the week of August 18–24, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different minimum streak length (2, 3, 4, 5, or 6+ days). A day qualifies only if its average temperature—calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly readings from 12:00 AM to 11:59 PM local time at KSAN, rounded to the nearest whole degree—exceeds 90°F. Exactly 90°F does not qualify. Only days within the specified week count toward a streak, and any day with fewer than 18 reported hourly values breaks the streak. Data from The Weather Company, as published at the expiration time, will determine the outcome, with later revisions disregarded.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the current odds and price history for the San Diego heatwave market, along with 24-hour volume of $10. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of consecutive days with average temperatures above 90°F in San Diego during the specified week.

On Kalshi, the current odds reflect trader sentiment about the likelihood of consecutive hot days. Analyst forecasts from weather services often provide a complementary view, incorporating long-range climate models and historical trends. While prediction markets can react quickly to new data, such as sudden shifts in atmospheric patterns, analyst reports may offer more detailed explanations of expected temperature trends. Comparing both sources helps identify potential discrepancies and gauge market confidence in an extended heat period.

This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will be based on official meteorological data for the specified week, confirming whether the average temperature in San Diego reached above 90°F for the necessary consecutive days.

Several factors could influence this market before Aug 25, 2026. Updates from major weather institutions, including revised forecasts or early warnings about persistent high-pressure systems, may shift trader expectations. Sudden changes in oceanic temperatures, such as El Niño developments, can also impact regional weather patterns. Additionally, geopolitical events that affect local energy use or urban heat islands might subtly influence daily averages. Traders will monitor these signals closely as the summer progresses.