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Consecutive days of average temperature in San Antonio above 90°F - week of Aug 18, 2026
kalshi

Consecutive days of average temperature in San Antonio above 90°F - week of Aug 18, 2026

Volume:
$40,809

3+ consecutive days

 - Kalshi

3+ consecutive days - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 25, 2026

Closed: Aug 24, 12:59 AM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

3+ consecutive days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,357
N/A
N/A
$10,541
Settled
No
kalshi

4+ consecutive days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,574
N/A
N/A
$5,030
Settled
No
kalshi

5+ consecutive days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,189
N/A
N/A
$4,346
Settled
No
kalshi

6+ consecutive days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,113
N/A
N/A
$3,725
Settled
No
kalshi

2+ consecutive days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,575
N/A
N/A
$2,430
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks daily average temperatures in San Antonio during a specific week to determine if temperatures exceed a set threshold for consecutive days. The focus is on identifying patterns of high temperatures over a short period, reflecting potential heatwave conditions.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether San Antonio experiences consecutive days with average temperatures strictly above 90°F during the week of August 18–24, 2026, based on data from KSAT. Each market requires a different minimum number of consecutive qualifying days (from two to six days). A qualifying day is calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly temperatures reported by The Weather Company from 12:00 AM to 11:59 PM local time, rounded to the nearest whole degree. An average of exactly 90°F does not qualify. Any day with fewer than 18 reported hourly values invalidates that day and breaks the streak. All data used for resolution is taken from the published values at the expiration time, with later revisions disregarded. The outcome depends on whether the recorded temperatures meet or exceed the consecutive-day thresholds specified for each market.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the San Antonio heat streak market tracks real-time odds and price movements related to whether San Antonio will experience consecutive days with average temperatures above 90°F during the week of August 18, 2026. It shows current probability estimates, historical price trends, and 24-hour volume of $14,597. This single-venue view updates dynamically as traders place bets, reflecting collective expectations about the city’s summer heat patterns without aggregating data from other sources.

This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, official meteorological records for San Antonio will be examined to determine if the required number of consecutive days achieved an average temperature above 90°F during the targeted week. No subjective judgment is involved — the result is binary and based solely on published data.

Between now and resolution, this market could shift based on medium- to long-range weather outlooks issued by recognized services, sudden changes in atmospheric patterns, or emerging climate narratives influencing trader sentiment. For example, an early heat wave or a cooler-than-expected forecast might adjust probability estimates. Additionally, any surge in trading volume — especially near Aug 25, 2026 — often signals new information entering the market, causing rapid price adjustments as participants reassess their positions.