TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on October 5?
polymarket

Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on October 5?

Volume:
$187

Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on October 5?

 - Polymarket

Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on October 5? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 4:16 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on October 5?

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$187
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on October 5, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on October 5, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.COIN%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.COIN%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on October 5, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on October 5, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.COIN%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.COIN%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Coinbase stock market tracks the current odds of the stock closing above or below its opening price on October 5. It displays the implied probability of each outcome, reflecting the collective predictions of traders on the platform. You can also view the 24-hour volume, which currently stands at $187, and the total volume traded to date, reaching $187. This provides a real-time overview of market sentiment and activity surrounding the future price of COIN.

Currently, the prevailing sentiment on Polymarket suggests a strong expectation that the Coinbase stock will close higher on October 5. This contrasts with some analyst forecasts, which present a more mixed outlook, with opinions ranging from 'hold' to 'sell' based on recent market volatility and regulatory concerns. While analysts rely on fundamental and technical analysis, this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a broader range of information and potential catalysts. It’s important to note that prediction market probabilities aren’t necessarily a direct comparison to analyst ratings, but rather a different expression of future expectations.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the Coinbase stock will be up or down on October 5. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly translating into the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The higher the demand for 'Up' contracts, the higher the price and the greater the implied probability of the stock closing higher. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of traders.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Coinbase (COIN) stock on October 5 will be compared to its opening price on that same day. If the closing price is higher, the 'Up' outcome will be declared the winner. If it is lower or equal, the 'Down' outcome will prevail. The resolution will be based on publicly available data from a recognized financial exchange, ensuring transparency and objectivity in determining the result of this market.

Several factors could significantly influence the price of Coinbase stock and, consequently, shift the odds in this market. Major news regarding regulatory developments, particularly concerning cryptocurrency regulations, could have a substantial impact. Earnings reports from Coinbase or its competitors, along with broader macroeconomic indicators like inflation data and interest rate decisions, are also key catalysts. Unexpected events, such as security breaches or significant shifts in investor sentiment towards cryptocurrencies, could also cause volatility and move this market. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential price movements leading up to Oct 5, 2026.