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Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on October 12?
polymarket

Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on October 12?

Volume:
$2,054

Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on October 12?

 - Polymarket

Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on October 12? - Polymarket

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Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 4:15 PM EST

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Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on October 12?

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,054
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on October 12, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on October 12, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.COIN%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.COIN%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on October 12, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on October 12, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.COIN%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.COIN%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Coinbase stock market tracks the current odds of the stock closing above or below its opening price on October 12. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the implied probability has shifted over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the total volume for this market is $2,054, with $2,054 traded in the last day. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and see how actively traders are participating in predicting the direction of COIN.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts for the Coinbase stock market. While analysts often provide price targets and ratings based on fundamental and technical analysis, this market represents the collective wisdom of traders betting with real capital. Discrepancies between the two can arise due to differing methodologies, risk appetites, and access to information. It’s important to consider both viewpoints when forming your own opinion on the future performance of COIN.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether the Coinbase stock will be up or down on October 12. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares bought indicating an ‘up’ move, the higher the price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment.

This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Coinbase (COIN) stock on October 12 will be compared to its opening price on that same day. If the closing price is higher, the ‘up’ outcome will prevail; if it’s lower or equal, the ‘down’ outcome will be considered the result. The resolution will be based on official exchange data and widely available financial news sources.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 12, 2026. Major news regarding Coinbase's financial performance, regulatory developments impacting the cryptocurrency industry, or broader macroeconomic factors affecting the stock market could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected earnings reports, SEC rulings, or shifts in interest rates are just a few examples. Furthermore, significant news related to competitor performance or overall market trends in the tech sector could also play a role in shifting the odds within this market.