TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
BTC Up or Down - Weekly
limitless

Will BTC be up or down by 2026-10-05?

Volume:
$3

BTC Up or Down - Weekly

 - Limitless

BTC Up or Down - Weekly - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 11:59 PM EST

limitless

Limitless

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

BTC Up or Down - Weekly

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the price for Pyth Pro BTC/USD on October 5, 2026, at 03:59 UTC is strictly higher than the price for Pyth Pro BTC/USD on September 28, 2026, at 04:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The price for Pyth Pro BTC/USD captured on September 28, 2026, at 04:00 UTC was $83,325.71354903. Resolution source: Pyth Pro BTC/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. If Pyth Pro is briefly missing data at exactly 03:59 UTC on October 5, 2026, the next available Pyth Pro price within 5 seconds will be used for the affected timestamp. In the rare event of a longer Pyth Pro outage, the market will be resolved manually by the Limitless team using the closest available Pyth Pro price.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Up" if the price for Pyth Pro BTC/USD on October 5, 2026, at 03:59 UTC is strictly higher than the price for Pyth Pro BTC/USD on September 28, 2026, at 04:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The price for Pyth Pro BTC/USD captured on September 28, 2026, at 04:00 UTC was $83,325.71354903. Resolution source: Pyth Pro BTC/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. If Pyth Pro is briefly missing data at exactly 03:59 UTC on October 5, 2026, the next available Pyth Pro price within 5 seconds will be used for the affected timestamp. In the rare event of a longer Pyth Pro outage, the market will be resolved manually by the Limitless team using the closest available Pyth Pro price.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional spot price expectations. While analysts and polls may focus on fundamental factors or news sentiment, this market represents what traders are willing to bet on, incorporating a wider range of information and potential black swan events. If the odds heavily favor one outcome, it suggests a strong conviction among traders that this will occur. Discrepancies between prediction market probabilities and external forecasts can present interesting opportunities for informed traders.

On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the weekly Bitcoin market will close higher or lower. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd, and traders adjust their positions as new information becomes available. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to changing conditions and expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the direction of the weekly Bitcoin market is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether the closing price of Bitcoin at the end of the week is higher or lower than its opening price. Traders will then be paid out according to their positions in this market. It’s important to monitor news and events that could influence Bitcoin’s price leading up to the resolution date.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major news regarding Bitcoin adoption, regulatory changes, or macroeconomic factors like inflation and interest rate decisions are key catalysts. Unexpected security breaches or technological advancements within the cryptocurrency space could also have a substantial impact. Geopolitical events and shifts in investor sentiment can also influence the price of Bitcoin, and therefore the odds in this market. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential price movements.