TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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BTC price range on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

BTC price range on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$331,926

$76,500 to 76,999.99

 - Kalshi

$76,500 to 76,999.99 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$76,500 to 76,999.99

View
100%
94%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$56,579
N/A
N/A
$38,346
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$80,500 to 80,999.99

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$57,761
N/A
N/A
$12,659
Settled
No
kalshi

$77,000 to 77,499.99

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,636
N/A
N/A
$15,092
Settled
No
kalshi

$76,000 to 76,499.99

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,175
N/A
N/A
$11,360
Settled
No
kalshi

$80,000 to 80,499.99

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,530
N/A
N/A
$14,929
Settled
No
kalshi

$81,000 to 81,499.99

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,646
N/A
N/A
$16,136
Settled
No
kalshi

$78,500 to 78,999.99

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,749
N/A
N/A
$9,957
Settled
No
kalshi

$77,500 to 77,999.99

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,449
N/A
N/A
$8,477
Settled
No
kalshi

$79,500 to 79,999.99

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,200
N/A
N/A
$7,856
Settled
No
kalshi

$78,000 to 78,499.99

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,693
N/A
N/A
$11,258
Settled
No
kalshi

$75,500 to 75,999.99

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,093
N/A
N/A
$3,269
Settled
No
kalshi

$79,000 to 79,499.99

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,453
N/A
N/A
$5,174
Settled
No
kalshi

$81,500 to 81,999.99

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,215
N/A
N/A
$3,130
Settled
No
kalshi

$82,500 to 82,999.99

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,934
N/A
N/A
$2,908
Settled
No
kalshi

$82,000 to 82,499.99

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,396
N/A
N/A
$1,783
Settled
No
kalshi

$75,000 to 75,499.99

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,358
N/A
N/A
$1,858
Settled
No
kalshi

$69,499.99 or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,511
N/A
N/A
$933
Settled
No
kalshi

$74,000 to 74,499.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,508
N/A
N/A
$1,377
Settled
No
kalshi

$72,000 to 72,499.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,121
N/A
N/A
$666
Settled
No
kalshi

$73,500 to 73,999.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,048
N/A
N/A
$571
Settled
No
kalshi

$74,500 to 74,999.99

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$981
N/A
N/A
$874
Settled
No
kalshi

$72,500 to 72,999.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$762
N/A
N/A
$385
Settled
No
kalshi

$83,000 to 83,499.99

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$727
N/A
N/A
$421
Settled
No
kalshi

$84,000 to 84,499.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$439
N/A
N/A
$282
Settled
No
kalshi

$73,000 to 73,499.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$350
N/A
N/A
$108
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 50

Description

This event tracks Bitcoin's price at a specific future moment, using a standardized benchmark index to determine the outcome. The resolution depends on where the price falls within predefined ranges at the exact closing time.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) immediately before 5 PM EDT on October 30, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific price range, and the official price is determined by averaging 60 RTI prices collected in the final minute before expiration. If the calculated average falls within a market's defined range, that market resolves to 'Yes'; all others resolve to 'No'. The BRTI is the sole source for price determination, ensuring consistency despite variations across other platforms. The ranges are contiguous and collectively exhaustive, covering from below $69,499.99 up to prices above $93,499.99.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Bitcoin price range market tracks the current implied probabilities for various price ranges on October 30, 2026, at 5pm EDT. You'll find a dynamic display of the odds for each range, reflecting what traders are currently willing to pay or accept. The dashboard also shows the total volume traded in this market, currently at $331,926, and the 24-hour volume, which is $203,403. This provides a real-time view of market sentiment and activity surrounding the future price of Bitcoin.

Currently, prediction market odds represent a forward-looking assessment of Bitcoin's price, aggregating the beliefs of many traders. This differs from spot price expectations, which are based on immediate supply and demand. While spot prices reflect current market conditions, this market attempts to forecast a specific price point nearly two years in the future. Polls of financial analysts also offer forecasts, but those represent the views of a limited number of experts, whereas this market incorporates a wider range of perspectives through continuous trading and price discovery.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different Bitcoin price ranges, and the prices of these contracts fluctuate based on supply and demand. As more traders believe a particular price range is likely, the price of contracts for that range will increase. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect the collective wisdom of participants, creating a probabilistic forecast for the future Bitcoin price. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction behind these forecasts.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which price range Bitcoin’s price falls into at 5pm EDT on October 30, 2026. The price will be sourced from a widely recognized exchange and verified against credible public sources. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen price range matches the actual Bitcoin price at the specified time, according to the contract terms.

Numerous signals and events could significantly impact this market. Major regulatory developments concerning cryptocurrency, such as new legislation or enforcement actions, could cause substantial price swings. Macroeconomic factors like inflation rates, interest rate changes, and global economic growth will also play a role. Technological advancements related to Bitcoin, including improvements to scalability or security, could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected geopolitical events or large-scale adoption by institutions could also move this market considerably between now and Oct 30, 2026.