TOTAL VOLUME:

$147.8b

24H VOL:

$153,964,051

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,815,744,871

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,809,858,743

498,684

Markets across

37,244

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,831

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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BTC price range on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

BTC price range on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$176,457

$81,000 to 81,499.99

 - Kalshi

$81,000 to 81,499.99 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$81,000 to 81,499.99

View
100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$57,045
N/A
N/A
$39,791
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$81,500 to 81,999.99

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,712
N/A
N/A
$16,437
Settled
No
kalshi

$77,500 to 77,999.99

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,454
N/A
N/A
$23,318
Settled
No
kalshi

$80,500 to 80,999.99

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,586
N/A
N/A
$10,572
Settled
No
kalshi

$82,000 to 82,499.99

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,607
N/A
N/A
$6,248
Settled
No
kalshi

$82,500 to 82,999.99

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,529
N/A
N/A
$2,288
Settled
No
kalshi

$79,500 to 79,999.99

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,473
N/A
N/A
$5,410
Settled
No
kalshi

$84,000 to 84,499.99

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,458
N/A
N/A
$2,080
Settled
No
kalshi

$83,000 to 83,499.99

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,736
N/A
N/A
$2,444
Settled
No
kalshi

$77,000 to 77,499.99

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,785
N/A
N/A
$3,785
Settled
No
kalshi

$83,500 to 83,999.99

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,285
N/A
N/A
$1,960
Settled
No
kalshi

$84,500 to 84,999.99

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,967
N/A
N/A
$1,459
Settled
No
kalshi

$85,500 to 85,999.99

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,486
N/A
N/A
$1,486
Settled
No
kalshi

$78,500 to 78,999.99

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,264
N/A
N/A
$1,264
Settled
No
kalshi

$80,000 to 80,499.99

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,186
N/A
N/A
$968
Settled
No
kalshi

$85,000 to 85,499.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$768
N/A
N/A
$737
Settled
No
kalshi

$86,500 to 86,999.99

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$290
N/A
N/A
$286
Settled
No
kalshi

$70,000 to 70,499.99

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

$87,500 to 87,999.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$145
N/A
N/A
$145
Settled
No
kalshi

$76,000 to 76,499.99

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$96
N/A
N/A
$96
Settled
No
kalshi

$78,000 to 78,499.99

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$76
N/A
N/A
$76
Settled
No
kalshi

$87,000 to 87,499.99

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64
N/A
N/A
$64
Settled
No
kalshi

$79,000 to 79,499.99

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61
N/A
N/A
$61
Settled
No
kalshi

$86,000 to 86,499.99

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
$48
Settled
No
kalshi

$88,000 to 88,499.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
$48
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 50

Description

This event tracks Bitcoin's price performance at a specific future moment, using a trusted benchmark index to determine the outcome. The resolution depends on where the price falls within predefined ranges at the exact closing time.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) immediately before 5 PM EDT on October 23, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific price range, with the first market resolving to Yes if the average is $69,999.99 or below, and the final market resolving to Yes if the average exceeds $93,999.99. Intermediate markets resolve to Yes if the average falls within their respective bounds. The official price is calculated from 60 BRTI readings collected in the final minute before expiration, emphasizing the use of CF Benchmarks' index over other potential sources for consistency and accuracy.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Bitcoin price range market tracks the current implied probabilities for various price ranges on October 23, 2026, at 5pm EDT. You’ll find a dynamic display of the odds, reflecting what traders are willing to pay or accept for each outcome. It also shows the total volume traded on this market, currently at $176,457, and the 24-hour volume, which is $98,805. This allows you to gauge market interest and how opinions are shifting as we approach the resolution date.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations for Bitcoin. While spot prices reflect immediate market sentiment, this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders forecasting a future price range. This can reveal insights into potential volatility and risk perceptions that aren’t immediately apparent in spot markets. It’s important to remember that prediction markets are forward-looking, attempting to anticipate price movements rather than simply reflecting the current price.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing different Bitcoin price ranges. The prices of these contracts fluctuate based on supply and demand, ultimately reflecting the collective probability assigned to each range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s depth and liquidity, as indicated by the volume, influence how efficiently prices adjust to new information and trader sentiment. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Bitcoin price at 5pm EDT on October 23, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100% in the price range that contains the actual Bitcoin price at the specified time. The resolution will be based on data from a widely recognized and trusted source for cryptocurrency pricing, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the winning outcome for this market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major regulatory announcements regarding cryptocurrency, particularly in the United States or other key economic regions, could introduce volatility. Unexpected macroeconomic events, such as shifts in interest rates or inflation, could also impact Bitcoin’s price. Technological developments related to the Bitcoin network, like significant upgrades or security breaches, are additional catalysts. Finally, broader market sentiment towards risk assets and adoption rates by institutional investors will likely influence trading activity in this market.