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BTC price on Oct 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

BTC price on Oct 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$4,644,424

$82,000 or above

 - Kalshi

$82,000 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$82,000 or above

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$505,557
N/A
N/A
$196,244
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$81,000 or above

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$230,821
N/A
N/A
$50,201
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$81,500 or above

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$201,196
N/A
N/A
$61,733
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$80,000 or above

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$166,448
N/A
N/A
$83,264
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$78,000 or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$69,822
N/A
N/A
$50,714
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$80,500 or above

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$67,210
N/A
N/A
$24,070
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$79,000 or above

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$42,503
N/A
N/A
$15,276
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$79,500 or above

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$39,032
N/A
N/A
$17,412
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$78,500 or above

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,648
N/A
N/A
$9,843
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$76,500 or above

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,426
N/A
N/A
$17,279
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$77,500 or above

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,231
N/A
N/A
$5,789
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$77,000 or above

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,231
N/A
N/A
$5,060
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$76,000 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,923
N/A
N/A
$5,922
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$73,500 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,576
N/A
N/A
$1,546
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$75,000 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$394
N/A
N/A
$393
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$75,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$329
N/A
N/A
$328
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$74,000 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$265
N/A
N/A
$262
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$74,500 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$97
N/A
N/A
$96
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$82,500 or above

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,088,335
N/A
N/A
$316,755
Settled
No
kalshi

$83,000 or above

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$652,688
N/A
N/A
$202,755
Settled
No
kalshi

$83,500 or above

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$236,361
N/A
N/A
$72,873
Settled
No
kalshi

$84,000 or above

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$215,429
N/A
N/A
$72,914
Settled
No
kalshi

$87,000 or above

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$181,302
N/A
N/A
$128,709
Settled
No
kalshi

$85,000 or above

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$128,593
N/A
N/A
$60,426
Settled
No
kalshi

$85,500 or above

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$125,944
N/A
N/A
$35,907
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 50

Intro

This market tracks whether the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) will be above 77499.99 at 5 PM EDT on October 9, 2026. Currently, the probability of this outcome occurring on Kalshi is 99.0%. The resolution source for this market is CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI). Traders should closely watch the price of Bitcoin as it approaches the October 9, 2026 deadline, as the final sixty seconds of BRTI data before 5 PM EDT will determine the market’s outcome.

Kalshi

All markets share a common resolution methodology based on CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI). For each market, the resolution depends on whether the simple average of the sixty seconds of BRTI prices immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on October 9, 2026, exceeds a specified threshold. The final price is determined by averaging these sixty values at the last minute before expiration. While external sources like Google or Coinbase may indicate different prices, only the CF Benchmarks BRTI is authoritative for settlement. Each market corresponds to a distinct price threshold, and the 'Yes' outcome occurs if the calculated average surpasses that threshold; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Bitcoin price market tracks the current implied probability of various price ranges for BTC on October 9, 2026, at 5pm EDT. You'll find a visual representation of the odds, along with the total volume traded – currently $4,644,424 – and the 24-hour volume, which is $2,570,603. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities within this specific market. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how participants are pricing the future value of Bitcoin.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to typical spot price expectations. While traditional analysts and polls may focus on historical trends and fundamental analysis, this market reflects the collective judgment of individuals incentivized to accurately forecast the future price of Bitcoin. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, access to information, or simply varying interpretations of market signals. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than traditional forecasts, potentially leading to earlier signals of price movements.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction mechanism, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different price outcomes for Bitcoin. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the evolving beliefs of market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the price gets to the settlement date, the more the market price will converge towards the expected outcome. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of the probability distribution of potential Bitcoin prices.

This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be determined by the Bitcoin price at 5pm EDT on October 9, 2026, as reported by a widely recognized and trusted financial data source. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct price range will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect ranges will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.

Numerous signals and events could significantly impact this market over the next few years. Major regulatory changes regarding cryptocurrency, widespread adoption by institutional investors, or significant technological advancements in the Bitcoin network could all drive price fluctuations. Unexpected macroeconomic events, such as global recessions or shifts in monetary policy, could also play a role. Furthermore, security breaches or major hacks impacting the Bitcoin ecosystem could introduce volatility and influence trading activity in this market.