TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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BTC price on Oct 6, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

BTC price on Oct 6, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$2,006,160

$85,500 or above

 - Kalshi

$85,500 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$85,500 or above

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$316,109
N/A
N/A
$109,199
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$85,250 or above

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$118,473
N/A
N/A
$45,121
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$85,000 or above

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$99,176
N/A
N/A
$31,417
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$84,500 or above

View
100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$35,055
N/A
N/A
$16,218
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$84,750 or above

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$35,047
N/A
N/A
$9,914
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$84,000 or above

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$34,985
N/A
N/A
$21,949
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$84,250 or above

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,740
N/A
N/A
$16,041
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$83,750 or above

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,495
N/A
N/A
$16,816
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$83,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,013
N/A
N/A
$8,583
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$83,250 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,647
N/A
N/A
$6,331
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$83,000 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,205
N/A
N/A
$4,073
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$82,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,306
N/A
N/A
$1,306
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$82,750 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,126
N/A
N/A
$1,123
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$82,250 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$520
N/A
N/A
$520
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$80,750 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$420
N/A
N/A
$420
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$80,000 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$232
N/A
N/A
$232
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$82,000 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$229
N/A
N/A
$229
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$81,000 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$171
N/A
N/A
$171
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$77,750 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$81,750 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$85,750 or above

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$421,707
N/A
N/A
$126,030
Settled
No
kalshi

$86,000 or above

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$329,620
N/A
N/A
$98,141
Settled
No
kalshi

$86,250 or above

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$177,657
N/A
N/A
$40,860
Settled
No
kalshi

$86,500 or above

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$95,744
N/A
N/A
$28,732
Settled
No
kalshi

$86,750 or above

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$69,634
N/A
N/A
$19,952
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 80

Description

This set of markets will resolve based on the Bitcoin price at a specific future timestamp, using a standardized benchmark for price verification. Each market has a different price threshold that must be met or exceeded for resolution.

Kalshi

All markets share the same core resolution mechanism: the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) immediately before 5 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, will be compared against a specific threshold. If this average exceeds the threshold (specified uniquely for each market), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Each market features a distinct numerical threshold—ranging incrementally from $76,000 to $95,750—meaning the outcome depends entirely on where the final averaged price falls relative to these values. The secondary rule for all markets emphasizes that CF Benchmarks' BRTI is the definitive source, clarifying that prices from other platforms like Google or Coinbase are not authoritative. The final value is determined by averaging the 60 BRTI prices captured in the final minute before expiration, ensuring a consistent and objective resolution process across all markets.