TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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BTC price on Oct 5, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

BTC price on Oct 5, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$3,175,199

$85,750 or above

 - Kalshi

$85,750 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$85,750 or above

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$744,152
N/A
N/A
$133,581
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$85,500 or above

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$394,807
N/A
N/A
$96,530
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$85,000 or above

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$200,392
N/A
N/A
$71,140
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$85,250 or above

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$159,394
N/A
N/A
$47,152
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$84,500 or above

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$73,603
N/A
N/A
$32,709
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$84,750 or above

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$60,700
N/A
N/A
$21,064
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$84,250 or above

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$43,813
N/A
N/A
$20,062
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$84,000 or above

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$38,389
N/A
N/A
$19,301
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$83,750 or above

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,662
N/A
N/A
$8,513
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$83,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,148
N/A
N/A
$5,557
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$75,000 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,559
N/A
N/A
$3,559
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$82,750 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,248
N/A
N/A
$3,213
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$83,000 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,711
N/A
N/A
$2,706
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$83,250 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,589
N/A
N/A
$1,343
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$82,000 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$982
N/A
N/A
$982
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$81,250 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$897
N/A
N/A
$897
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$81,750 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$795
N/A
N/A
$795
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$82,250 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$291
N/A
N/A
$291
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$82,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$151
N/A
N/A
$151
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$81,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$68
N/A
N/A
$68
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$81,000 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$9
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$86,000 or above

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$644,094
N/A
N/A
$269,494
Settled
No
kalshi

$86,250 or above

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$219,067
N/A
N/A
$74,133
Settled
No
kalshi

$86,500 or above

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$151,948
N/A
N/A
$55,124
Settled
No
kalshi

$87,000 or above

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$93,543
N/A
N/A
$23,538
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 80

Description

This set of markets tracks whether Bitcoin's price will surpass various thresholds by a specific date and time, using a standardized benchmark for price verification. Each threshold represents a different price level, and the outcome depends on the average price during the final minute before the specified expiration time.

Kalshi

All markets share a unified resolution mechanism based on CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI). Each market has a distinct price threshold, specified as "$X or above." To resolve, the simple average of the sixty-second readings of the BRTI immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on October 5, 2026, is calculated. If this average exceeds the market's threshold (rounded down to two decimal places), the market resolves to "Yes"; otherwise, it resolves to "No." The BRTI is the sole source for price determination, with the final value derived from averaging the last sixty seconds of data before expiration. All secondary rules consistently emphasize that external price sources are not authoritative, reinforcing BRTI as the definitive reference for resolution.