TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets will resolve based on the Bitcoin price at a specific future timestamp, using a standardized benchmark index to determine the outcome. The markets cover various price thresholds, all evaluated simultaneously against the same data source at the same moment.
All markets in this event resolve based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on October 4, 2026. For any given market, if this calculated average exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., $74,499.99 for the first market, $75,999.99 for the seventh market, etc.), that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The same data collection methodology applies uniformly across all markets: during the final minute before expiration, exactly sixty price readings from the BRTI are gathered, and the official closing value for determination purposes is the arithmetic mean of these sixty observations. Market participants should note that while consumer-facing platforms like Google or Coinbase may show slightly different figures due to varying data sources or calculation methods, the BRTI average remains the sole authoritative measure for all resolution decisions under this event.