TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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Crypto
BTC price on Oct 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

BTC price on Oct 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$2,646,498

$85,500 or above

 - Kalshi

$85,500 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$85,500 or above

View
100%
84%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$699,992
N/A
N/A
$148,527
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$85,750 or above

100%
90%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$678,655
N/A
N/A
$163,082
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$85,250 or above

100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$320,449
N/A
N/A
$101,250
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$85,000 or above

100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$239,277
N/A
N/A
$58,883
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$84,750 or above

100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$178,380
N/A
N/A
$44,860
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$84,500 or above

100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$70,423
N/A
N/A
$16,105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$84,000 or above

100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$36,574
N/A
N/A
$19,739
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$84,250 or above

100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$24,259
N/A
N/A
$11,945
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$83,000 or above

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,477
N/A
N/A
$13,215
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$83,500 or above

100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,964
N/A
N/A
$8,056
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$83,250 or above

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,155
N/A
N/A
$4,763
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$83,750 or above

100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,041
N/A
N/A
$3,171
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$82,500 or above

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,088
N/A
N/A
$1,088
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$82,000 or above

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,060
N/A
N/A
$1,042
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$82,750 or above

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$943
N/A
N/A
$901
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$82,250 or above

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$622
N/A
N/A
$610
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$81,750 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$140
N/A
N/A
$140
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$80,000 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$80
N/A
N/A
$46
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$75,500 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$78
N/A
N/A
$46
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$86,000 or above

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$285,660
N/A
N/A
$126,183
Settled
No
kalshi

$86,250 or above

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,326
N/A
N/A
$28,094
Settled
No
kalshi

$86,500 or above

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,793
N/A
N/A
$19,769
Settled
No
kalshi

$87,000 or above

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,723
N/A
N/A
$8,628
Settled
No
kalshi

$87,500 or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,880
N/A
N/A
$4,861
Settled
No
kalshi

$86,750 or above

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,988
N/A
N/A
$2,895
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 80

Description

This set of markets will resolve based on the Bitcoin price at a specific future timestamp, using a standardized benchmark index to determine the outcome. The markets cover various price thresholds, all evaluated simultaneously against the same data source at the same moment.

Kalshi

All markets in this event resolve based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on October 4, 2026. For any given market, if this calculated average exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., $74,499.99 for the first market, $75,999.99 for the seventh market, etc.), that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The same data collection methodology applies uniformly across all markets: during the final minute before expiration, exactly sixty price readings from the BRTI are gathered, and the official closing value for determination purposes is the arithmetic mean of these sixty observations. Market participants should note that while consumer-facing platforms like Google or Coinbase may show slightly different figures due to varying data sources or calculation methods, the BRTI average remains the sole authoritative measure for all resolution decisions under this event.