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420,493

Markets across

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5

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Kalshi:

63%

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BTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

BTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$6,824,842

$76,500 or above

 - Kalshi

$76,500 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$76,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$779,065
N/A
N/A
$192,331
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$76,000 or above

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$441,200
N/A
N/A
$145,576
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$75,000 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$185,424
N/A
N/A
$65,161
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$75,500 or above

View
100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$170,317
N/A
N/A
$61,707
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$74,500 or above

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$77,520
N/A
N/A
$60,978
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$74,000 or above

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$62,764
N/A
N/A
$46,647
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$73,000 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$47,350
N/A
N/A
$29,510
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$73,500 or above

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$37,231
N/A
N/A
$26,338
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$72,000 or above

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26,620
N/A
N/A
$24,002
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$72,500 or above

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,965
N/A
N/A
$14,679
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$70,000 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,943
N/A
N/A
$11,347
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$71,000 or above

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,857
N/A
N/A
$11,212
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$69,500 or above

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,149
N/A
N/A
$9,415
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$71,500 or above

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,776
N/A
N/A
$6,321
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$69,000 or above

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,232
N/A
N/A
$6,501
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$70,500 or above

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,905
N/A
N/A
$3,103
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$77,000 or above

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,183,024
N/A
N/A
$297,351
Settled
No
kalshi

$78,000 or above

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$582,068
N/A
N/A
$163,007
Settled
No
kalshi

$77,500 or above

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$574,796
N/A
N/A
$193,525
Settled
No
kalshi

$79,000 or above

View
0%
84%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$439,121
N/A
N/A
$93,253
Settled
No
kalshi

$80,000 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$390,095
N/A
N/A
$93,499
Settled
No
kalshi

$78,500 or above

View
0%
92%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$308,772
N/A
N/A
$93,121
Settled
No
kalshi

$79,500 or above

View
0%
83%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$260,271
N/A
N/A
$73,747
Settled
No
kalshi

$81,000 or above

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$243,565
N/A
N/A
$55,337
Settled
No
kalshi

$80,500 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$187,374
N/A
N/A
$40,635
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 50

Intro

This market tracks whether the simple average of sixty seconds of the CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) will be above 75999.99 at 5 PM EDT on October 30, 2026. Currently, the probability of this occurring on Kalshi is 99.0%. The resolution source for this market is CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI). Traders should closely watch the price of Bitcoin leading up to October 30, 2026, as the market will resolve based on the index value at that specific time.

Kalshi

All markets share a common resolution methodology centered on the Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) published by CF Benchmarks. For each market, the outcome depends on whether the simple average of the sixty seconds of BRTI prices immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on October 30, 2026, exceeds a specified threshold. The thresholds vary incrementally across markets, each defining a distinct price level that Bitcoin must surpass for that market to resolve as 'Yes'. If the average does not meet or exceed the threshold, the market resolves as 'No'. The official price is determined by averaging the last sixty BRTI values captured in the final minute before expiration, ensuring consistency and reliability. All markets use the same data source and calculation method, differing only in their respective price thresholds.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Bitcoin price market tracks the current implied probability of various price ranges for Bitcoin on October 30, 2026. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, along with a price history chart showing how expectations have shifted over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour volume, currently at $4,579,785, and the total volume traded to date, which is $6,820,641. This provides a comprehensive overview of market sentiment regarding the future price of Bitcoin.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect immediate market value, this market aggregates the beliefs of diverse traders forecasting a price point nearly two years in the future. Polls and analyst forecasts often focus on shorter time horizons and may not fully capture the potential for long-term shifts in Bitcoin’s value. The collective wisdom reflected in this market can provide a valuable signal, distinct from conventional financial analysis, regarding the anticipated price of Bitcoin in late 2026.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different price ranges for Bitcoin, and the prices of these contracts determine the implied probability of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the likelihood that Bitcoin will be within that price range at the specified time. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time forecast of Bitcoin’s future value.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, at 5:00 PM EDT. The outcome will be determined by the price of one Bitcoin, as verified against credible public sources reporting the spot price from major cryptocurrency exchanges. The market will settle to the price range that contains the verified Bitcoin price at the specified date and time. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution based on publicly available data, representing the consensus price at that moment.

Numerous signals and events could significantly impact this market. Major regulatory developments concerning cryptocurrency, particularly in the United States and globally, would likely cause substantial price movements. Macroeconomic factors such as inflation rates, interest rate decisions by central banks, and overall economic growth could also play a role. Technological advancements or security breaches related to the Bitcoin network itself, as well as broader adoption trends and institutional investment, are additional catalysts to watch. Unexpected geopolitical events could also influence investor sentiment and, consequently, the price of Bitcoin.